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Empirical evaluation of asset pricing models: Arbitrage and pricing errors in contingent claims

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  • Wang, Zhenyu
  • Zhang, Xiaoyan

Abstract

Hansen and Jagannathan (1997) have developed two measures of pricing errors for asset-pricing models: the maximum pricing error in all static portfolios of the test assets and the maximum pricing error in all contingent claims of the assets. In this paper, we develop simulation-based Bayesian inference for these measures. While the literature reports that the time-varying extensions substantially reduce pricing errors of classic models on the standard test assets, our analysis shows that the reduction is much smaller based on the second measure. Those time-varying models have large pricing errors on the contingent claims of the test assets because their stochastic discount factors are often negative and admit arbitrage opportunities.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Zhenyu & Zhang, Xiaoyan, 2012. "Empirical evaluation of asset pricing models: Arbitrage and pricing errors in contingent claims," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 65-78.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:empfin:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:65-78
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2011.11.001
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    Cited by:

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    2. Sangwon Suh & Wonho Song & Bong-Soo Lee, 2014. "A new method for forming asset pricing factors from firm characteristics," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(28), pages 3463-3482, October.
    3. Fletcher, Jonathan, 2014. "Benchmark models of expected returns in U.K. portfolio performance: An empirical investigation," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 30-46.
    4. Yuewu Xu, 2021. "A new measure of model misspecification with the no-arbitrage constraint: extending the second Hansen–Jagannathan distance," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 917-938, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bayesian inference; Asset pricing; Pricing errors; Model comparison; Contingent claims;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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