IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ememar/v65y2025ics1566014124001468.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Message traffic and short-term illiquidity in high-speed markets

Author

Listed:
  • Abad, David
  • Massot, Magdalena
  • Nawn, Samarpan
  • Pascual, Roberto
  • Yagüe, José

Abstract

We examine which components of message traffic in a high-speed equity market, including orders from traders with varying technological capabilities, signal short-term illiquidity. Our findings show that only the unexpected component of high-frequency traders' (HFTs') net buying pressure — arising from both aggressive and non-aggressive orders — predicts increases in immediacy costs and price impacts. Updates to outstanding limit orders, driven by prior efficient pre returns, strengthen the signaling power of HFTs' order flow. Additionally, market-wide HFTs' net buying pressure improves the ability to forecast short-term illiquidity in individual stocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Abad, David & Massot, Magdalena & Nawn, Samarpan & Pascual, Roberto & Yagüe, José, 2025. "Message traffic and short-term illiquidity in high-speed markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ememar:v:65:y:2025:i:c:s1566014124001468
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2024.101251
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1566014124001468
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ememar.2024.101251?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Order flow; HFT; Limit orders; Market orders; Cancellations; Toxicity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ememar:v:65:y:2025:i:c:s1566014124001468. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/620356 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.