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Immunity and infection: Emerging and developed market sovereign spreads over the Global Financial Crisis

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  • Cayon, Edgardo
  • Thorp, Susan
  • Wu, Eliza

Abstract

We compare sovereign bond spreads during the international financial crisis across groups drawn from 43 countries, including 20 emerging economies. We extend traditional factor analyses and utilize propensity score matching to select a non-crisis sample for comparison with the crisis sample that is more robust to exogenous crisis dating. We find minimal changes over the crisis period in the average spreads of local-currency-denominated emerging market bonds. In contrast, the spreads of peripheral Eurozone sovereign bonds increased by large amounts and were subject to sovereign risk contagion.

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  • Cayon, Edgardo & Thorp, Susan & Wu, Eliza, 2018. "Immunity and infection: Emerging and developed market sovereign spreads over the Global Financial Crisis," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 162-174.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ememar:v:34:y:2018:i:c:p:162-174
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2017.11.006
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    2. Shi, Yujie & Wang, Liming, 2023. "Comparing the impact of Chinese and U.S. economic policy uncertainty on the volatility of major global stock markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Sovereign bonds; Emerging markets; Financial contagion; Financial crisis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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