IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ejores/v322y2025i1p121-132.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Ranking and selection with two-stage decision

Author

Listed:
  • Wang, Tianxiang
  • Xu, Jie
  • Branke, Juergen
  • Hu, Jian-Qiang
  • Chen, Chun-Hung

Abstract

Ranking & selection (R&S) is concerned with the selection of the best decision from a finite set of alternative decisions when the outcome of the decision has to be estimated using stochastic simulation. In this paper, we extend the R&S problem to a two-stage setting where after a first-stage decision has been made, some information may be observed and a second-stage decision then needs to be made based on the observed information to achieve the best outcome. We then extend two popular single-stage R&S algorithms, expected value of information (EVI) and optimal computing budget allocation (OCBA), to efficiently solve the new two-stage R&S problem. We prove the consistency of the new two-stage EVI (2S-EVI) and OCBA (2S-OCBA) algorithms. Experiment results on benchmark test problems and a two-stage multi-product assortment problem show that both algorithms outperform applying single-stage EVI and OCBA in the two-stage setting. Between 2S-EVI and 2S-OCBA, numerical results suggest that 2S-EVI tends to perform better with smaller number of decisions at first and second stage while 2S-OCBA has better performance for larger problems.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Tianxiang & Xu, Jie & Branke, Juergen & Hu, Jian-Qiang & Chen, Chun-Hung, 2025. "Ranking and selection with two-stage decision," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 322(1), pages 121-132.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:322:y:2025:i:1:p:121-132
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2024.11.005
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0377221724008555
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ejor.2024.11.005?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:322:y:2025:i:1:p:121-132. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/eor .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.