IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecosta/v33y2025icp13-22.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The dynamics of U.S. industrial production: A time-varying Granger causality perspective

Author

Listed:
  • Baum, Christopher F.
  • Hurn, Stan
  • Otero, Jesús

Abstract

The concept of Granger causality is an important tool in applied macroeconomics. Recursive econometric methods to analyze the temporal stability of Granger-causal relationships have recently been developed. These recursive procedures are used to re-evaluate the temporal stability of Granger causality between US industrial production and three macroeconomic variables. There appears to be significant evidence of temporal variation in the causal relationships. A clear pattern that emerges from the results is that the causal channels from all three variables to industrial production appear to be very strong in the latter part of the sample period.

Suggested Citation

  • Baum, Christopher F. & Hurn, Stan & Otero, Jesús, 2025. "The dynamics of U.S. industrial production: A time-varying Granger causality perspective," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 13-22.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecosta:v:33:y:2025:i:c:p:13-22
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosta.2021.10.012
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2452306221001271
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Contains open access articles
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ecosta.2021.10.012?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecosta:v:33:y:2025:i:c:p:13-22. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/econometrics-and-statistics .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.