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Modelling past and future impacts of droughts on tree mortality and carbon storage in Norway spruce stands in Germany

Author

Listed:
  • Anders, Tim
  • Hetzer, Jessica
  • Knapp, Nikolai
  • Forrest, Matthew
  • Langan, Liam
  • Tölle, Merja Helena
  • Wellbrock, Nicole
  • Hickler, Thomas

Abstract

Between 2018 and 2020, Central Europe experienced severe droughts. Leading to unprecedented increase in Norway spruce (Picea abies) tree mortality, which has not been reproduced in process-based forest or dynamic vegetation models (DVMs). In this study, we developed logistic regression models for drought-related Norway spruce mortality using climate and weather anomalies and mortality data from the forest monitoring plot network of the German crown condition survey. We integrated these models into the DVM LPJ-GUESS.

Suggested Citation

  • Anders, Tim & Hetzer, Jessica & Knapp, Nikolai & Forrest, Matthew & Langan, Liam & Tölle, Merja Helena & Wellbrock, Nicole & Hickler, Thomas, 2025. "Modelling past and future impacts of droughts on tree mortality and carbon storage in Norway spruce stands in Germany," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 501(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:501:y:2025:i:c:s0304380024003752
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2024.110987
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