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Evolutionary adaptation of trees and modelled future larch forest extent in Siberia

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  • Gloy, Josias
  • Herzschuh, Ulrike
  • Kruse, Stefan

Abstract

With changing climate, the boreal forest could potentially migrate north and become threatened by droughts in the south. However, whether larches, the dominant tree species in eastern Siberia, can adapt to novel situations is largely unknown but is crucial for predicting future population dynamics. Exploring variable traits and trait adaptation through inheritance in an individual-based model can improve our understanding and help future projections.

Suggested Citation

  • Gloy, Josias & Herzschuh, Ulrike & Kruse, Stefan, 2023. "Evolutionary adaptation of trees and modelled future larch forest extent in Siberia," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 478(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:478:y:2023:i:c:s0304380023000066
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2023.110278
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Schmid, Julia S. & Huth, Andreas & Taubert, Franziska, 2021. "Influences of traits and processes on productivity and functional composition in grasslands: A modeling study," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 440(C).
    2. Kruse, Stefan & Wieczorek, Mareike & Jeltsch, Florian & Herzschuh, Ulrike, 2016. "Treeline dynamics in Siberia under changing climates as inferred from an individual-based model for Larix," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 338(C), pages 101-121.
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