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Natural forest dynamics have more influence than climate change on the net ecosystem production of a mixed Mediterranean forest

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  • Simioni, Guillaume
  • Marie, Guillaume
  • Davi, Hendrik
  • Martin-St Paul, Nicolas
  • Huc, Roland

Abstract

Climate models predict increased drought conditions for the Mediterranean region, putting forests under increasing risk from direct or indirect effects of droughts. On the other hand, increasing CO2 and longer growing seasons could compensate the negative impacts of more intense droughts on forest productivity and carbon sequestration. Furthermore, large areas of Mediterranean forests are relatively young and unmanaged, and maturing usually tends to decrease carbon sequestration.

Suggested Citation

  • Simioni, Guillaume & Marie, Guillaume & Davi, Hendrik & Martin-St Paul, Nicolas & Huc, Roland, 2020. "Natural forest dynamics have more influence than climate change on the net ecosystem production of a mixed Mediterranean forest," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 416(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:416:y:2020:i:c:s0304380019304296
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2019.108921
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Wolfgang Cramer & Joël Guiot & Marianela Fader & Joaquim Garrabou & Jean-Pierre Gattuso & Ana Iglesias & Manfred A. Lange & Piero Lionello & Maria Carmen Llasat & Shlomit Paz & Josep Peñuelas & Maria , 2018. "Climate change and interconnected risks to sustainable development in the Mediterranean," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 8(11), pages 972-980, November.
    2. Trevor F. Keenan & Josh Gray & Mark A. Friedl & Michael Toomey & Gil Bohrer & David Y. Hollinger & J. William Munger & John O’Keefe & Hans Peter Schmid & Ian Sue Wing & Bai Yang & Andrew D. Richardson, 2014. "Net carbon uptake has increased through warming-induced changes in temperate forest phenology," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 4(7), pages 598-604, July.
    3. Simioni, Guillaume & Marie, Guillaume & Huc, Roland, 2016. "Influence of vegetation spatial structure on growth and water fluxes of a mixed forest: Results from the NOTG 3D model," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 328(C), pages 119-135.
    4. Trevor F. Keenan & David Y. Hollinger & Gil Bohrer & Danilo Dragoni & J. William Munger & Hans Peter Schmid & Andrew D. Richardson, 2013. "Increase in forest water-use efficiency as atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations rise," Nature, Nature, vol. 499(7458), pages 324-327, July.
    5. M. Fernández-Martínez & J. Sardans & F. Chevallier & P. Ciais & M. Obersteiner & S. Vicca & J. G. Canadell & A. Bastos & P. Friedlingstein & S. Sitch & S. L. Piao & I. A. Janssens & J. Peñuelas, 2019. "Global trends in carbon sinks and their relationships with CO2 and temperature," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 9(1), pages 73-79, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Delgado-Artés, Rafael & Garófano-Gómez, Virginia & Oliver-Villanueva, José-Vicente & Rojas-Briales, Eduardo, 2022. "Land use/cover change analysis in the Mediterranean region: a regional case study of forest evolution in Castelló (Spain) over 50 years," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).

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