IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecomod/v228y2012icp39-48.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Influence of spatial heterogeneity and temporal variability in habitat selection: A case study on a great bustard metapopulation

Author

Listed:
  • Martín, Beatriz
  • Alonso, Juan Carlos
  • Martín, Carlos A.
  • Palacín, Carlos
  • Magaña, Marina
  • Alonso, Javier

Abstract

We modelled great bustard abundance patterns and their spatial structure in relation to habitat and landscape variables. We developed Generalized Linear Models (GLM) using long term data series – years 1997–2006 – during the breeding season in Madrid region, central Spain. Our main goal was to assess spatial and temporal variability effects on habitat selection in this species evaluating the impact of interannual variability on habitat selection, the consistency of model predictions among years and the effect of data accumulation in the model performance. We examined the predictive ability of our models using internal and external validation techniques. We built separate models for each year and different models using the addition of several year data. The model perfomance increased as more census data were included in the calibration. One-off temporal data was insufficient to predict great bustard abundance properly. The final model (calibrated with all period data) showed a reasonable accuracy, attending to the validation tests. The variability in habitat suitability predictions between annual models does not seem to be caused by changes in habitat selection between years because the global model had a better explanatory ability than annual models. As far as interannual variability in spring greenness is concerned, the most variable sites are preferred, suggesting a selection for sites with smaller land use units and with a traditional rotation system. The great bustard abundance in Madrid was affected by the presence of other conspecifics but this pattern was conditioned to the existence of a suitable habitat denoted by the other variables in the final model. Future persistence of great bustards in Madrid region depends on a sustainable economic development that maintains traditional land uses, at least in areas with high ecological value for great bustards, whether they are occupied or not.

Suggested Citation

  • Martín, Beatriz & Alonso, Juan Carlos & Martín, Carlos A. & Palacín, Carlos & Magaña, Marina & Alonso, Javier, 2012. "Influence of spatial heterogeneity and temporal variability in habitat selection: A case study on a great bustard metapopulation," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 39-48.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:228:y:2012:i:c:p:39-48
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2011.12.024
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304380011006120
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2011.12.024?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Camille Parmesan & Gary Yohe, 2003. "A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems," Nature, Nature, vol. 421(6918), pages 37-42, January.
    2. Vernier, Pierre R. & Schmiegelow, Fiona K.A. & Hannon, Susan & Cumming, Steve G., 2008. "Generalizability of songbird habitat models in boreal mixedwood forests of Alberta," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 211(1), pages 191-201.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Gutiérrez, J. & Velázquez, J. & García-Abril, A. & Hernando, A. & Sánchez, B. & Gómez, I., 2020. "Impact model of urban development on steppic birds in natura 2000 spaces," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Richard Tol, 2011. "Regulating knowledge monopolies: the case of the IPCC," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 108(4), pages 827-839, October.
    2. Ding, Yimin & Wang, Weiguang & Song, Ruiming & Shao, Quanxi & Jiao, Xiyun & Xing, Wanqiu, 2017. "Modeling spatial and temporal variability of the impact of climate change on rice irrigation water requirements in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 193(C), pages 89-101.
    3. Anne Goodenough & Adam Hart, 2013. "Correlates of vulnerability to climate-induced distribution changes in European avifauna: habitat, migration and endemism," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 118(3), pages 659-669, June.
    4. Francesca Pilotto & Ingolf Kühn & Rita Adrian & Renate Alber & Audrey Alignier & Christopher Andrews & Jaana Bäck & Luc Barbaro & Deborah Beaumont & Natalie Beenaerts & Sue Benham & David S. Boukal & , 2020. "Meta-analysis of multidecadal biodiversity trends in Europe," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-11, December.
    5. Wesley R. Brooks & Stephen C. Newbold, 2013. "Ecosystem damages in integrated assessment models of climate change," NCEE Working Paper Series 201302, National Center for Environmental Economics, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, revised Mar 2013.
    6. Hao Wang & Guohua Liu & Zongshan Li & Xin Ye & Bojie Fu & Yihe Lü, 2017. "Analysis of the Driving Forces in Vegetation Variation in the Grain for Green Program Region, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(10), pages 1-14, October.
    7. Fabina, Nicholas S. & Abbott, Karen C. & Gilman, R.Tucker, 2010. "Sensitivity of plant–pollinator–herbivore communities to changes in phenology," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 221(3), pages 453-458.
    8. Xiumei Wang & Jianjun Dong & Taogetao Baoyin & Yuhai Bao, 2019. "Estimation and Climate Factor Contribution of Aboveground Biomass in Inner Mongolia’s Typical/Desert Steppes," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(23), pages 1-15, November.
    9. Anna Yusa & Peter Berry & June J.Cheng & Nicholas Ogden & Barrie Bonsal & Ronald Stewart & Ruth Waldick, 2015. "Climate Change, Drought and Human Health in Canada," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-54, July.
    10. Portalier, S.M.J. & Candau, J.-N. & Lutscher, F., 2024. "Larval mortality from phenological mismatch can affect outbreak frequency and severity of a boreal forest defoliator," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 493(C).
    11. A. Ogden & J. Innes, 2008. "Climate change adaptation and regional forest planning in southern Yukon, Canada," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 13(8), pages 833-861, October.
    12. Ye, Qing & Yang, Xiaoguang & Dai, Shuwei & Chen, Guangsheng & Li, Yong & Zhang, Caixia, 2015. "Effects of climate change on suitable rice cropping areas, cropping systems and crop water requirements in southern China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 35-44.
    13. Brandt, Laura A. & Benscoter, Allison M. & Harvey, Rebecca & Speroterra, Carolina & Bucklin, David & Romañach, Stephanie S. & Watling, James I. & Mazzotti, Frank J., 2017. "Comparison of climate envelope models developed using expert-selected variables versus statistical selection," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 345(C), pages 10-20.
    14. Prem B. Parajuli & Priyantha Jayakody & Ying Ouyang, 2018. "Evaluation of Using Remote Sensing Evapotranspiration Data in SWAT," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(3), pages 985-996, February.
    15. Fullman, Timothy J. & Bunting, Erin L. & Kiker, Gregory A. & Southworth, Jane, 2017. "Predicting shifts in large herbivore distributions under climate change and management using a spatially-explicit ecosystem model," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 352(C), pages 1-18.
    16. -, 2018. "Climate Change in Central America: Potential Impacts and Public Policy Options," Sede Subregional de la CEPAL en México (Estudios e Investigaciones) 39150, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    17. Debora Sotto & Arlindo Philippi & Tan Yigitcanlar & Md Kamruzzaman, 2019. "Aligning Urban Policy with Climate Action in the Global South: Are Brazilian Cities Considering Climate Emergency in Local Planning Practice?," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-31, September.
    18. Jilin Wu & Manhong Yang & Jinyou Zuo & Ningling Yin & Yimin Yang & Wenhai Xie & Shuiliang Liu, 2024. "Spatio-Temporal Evolution of Ecological Resilience in Ecologically Fragile Areas and Its Influencing Factors: A Case Study of the Wuling Mountains Area, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(9), pages 1-21, April.
    19. Baris Karapinar & Gökhan Özertan, 2020. "Yield implications of date and cultivar adaptation to wheat phenological shifts: a survey of farmers in Turkey," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 158(3), pages 453-472, February.
    20. Zhang, Jiarui & Jørgensen, Sven E. & Lu, Jianjian & Nielsen, Søren N. & Wang, Qiang, 2014. "A model for the contribution of macrophyte-derived organic carbon in harvested tidal freshwater marshes to surrounding estuarine and oceanic ecosystems and its response to global warming," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 294(C), pages 105-116.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:228:y:2012:i:c:p:39-48. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/ecological-modelling .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.