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Spectral analysis of fractionally cointegrated systems

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  • Nielsen, Morten Orregaard

Abstract

Cointegration imposes restrictions on the frequency domain behavior of a time series at the zero-frequency. We derive these restrictions for a multivariate fractionally cointegrated system. In particular, we consider a p-vector time series integrated of order d with r cointegrating relations, given by the rows of [I_{r};ß'], where the cointegration errors are integrated of order d-b, d=b>0. We show that, at the zero-frequency, the spectral density matrix of the d'th differenced series has reduced rank (p-r), the coherence and phase measures (multiple and partial) equal unity and zero, respectively, and the gain is the matrix of cointegrating coefficients. Extensions to noncontemporaneous cointegration, seasonal cointegration, and different fractional values of b for each cointegrating relation are considered.
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  • Nielsen, Morten Orregaard, 2004. "Spectral analysis of fractionally cointegrated systems," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 83(2), pages 225-231, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:83:y:2004:i:2:p:225-231
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    Cited by:

    1. Kristoufek, Ladislav, 2013. "Mixed-correlated ARFIMA processes for power-law cross-correlations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(24), pages 6484-6493.
    2. Christian Leschinski & Michelle Voges & Philipp Sibbertsen, 2021. "A comparison of semiparametric tests for fractional cointegration," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 62(4), pages 1997-2030, August.
    3. Nielsen, Morten Orregaard & Shimotsu, Katsumi, 2007. "Determining the cointegrating rank in nonstationary fractional systems by the exact local Whittle approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 574-596, December.
    4. Nielsen, Morten Orregaard, 2005. "Noncontemporaneous cointegration and the importance of timing," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 86(1), pages 113-119, January.
    5. Javier Haulde & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2022. "Fractional integration and cointegration," CREATES Research Papers 2022-02, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    6. Eroğlu, Burak Alparslan, 2019. "Wavelet variance ratio cointegration test and wavestrapping," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 298-319.
    7. Ørregaard Nielsen, Morten, 2004. "Local empirical spectral measure of multivariate processes with long range dependence," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 109(1), pages 145-166, January.
    8. Avarucci, Marco & Velasco, Carlos, 2009. "A Wald test for the cointegration rank in nonstationary fractional systems," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 151(2), pages 178-189, August.
    9. Burak Eroglu, 2017. "Wavelet Variance Ratio Test And Wavestrapping For The Determination Of The Cointegration Rank," Working Papers 1706, The Center for Financial Studies (CEFIS), Istanbul Bilgi University.
    10. Burak Eroglu & Kemal Caglar Gogebakan & Mirza Trokic, 2017. "Fractional Seasonal Variance Ratio Unit Root Tests," Working Papers 1707, The Center for Financial Studies (CEFIS), Istanbul Bilgi University.

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    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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