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Don’t go on holiday in August! Market reaction to an unexpected windfall tax on banks

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  • De Vito, Antonio
  • Pancotto, Livia
  • Perdichizzi, Salvatore
  • Reghezza, Alessio

Abstract

Using an event study approach, this paper investigates the stock market reaction to the unexpected announcement of a windfall tax on banks’ extra profits. We show that investors negatively perceive the introduction of the tax, with more pronounced reactions for banks expected to be more highly burdened. This evidence is corroborated when we investigate the cross-sectional determinants of banks’ returns and cumulative abnormal returns. Overall, the results suggest that investors negatively price excess profits taxes and contribute to our understanding of how stock markets respond to tax policy changes.

Suggested Citation

  • De Vito, Antonio & Pancotto, Livia & Perdichizzi, Salvatore & Reghezza, Alessio, 2023. "Don’t go on holiday in August! Market reaction to an unexpected windfall tax on banks," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:233:y:2023:i:c:s0165176523004330
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2023.111407
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Windfall tax; Excess profits tax; Rent tax; Banks; Event studies; Market reaction;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • H22 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Incidence
    • H25 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Business Taxes and Subsidies
    • H26 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Tax Evasion and Avoidance
    • M41 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Accounting

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