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Beyond rocket science: A factor model for convertible bond returns

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  • Li, Zhiyong
  • Wang, Haixu
  • Yu, Mei

Abstract

Due to the lack of high-quality data and pricing complexity, convertible bonds are difficult to be captured by the factor model widely used in empirical asset pricing. We consider a zoo of convertible bond predictors in the Chinese markets and use instrumented principal components analysis (IPCA) to capture the cross-sectional returns of convertible bonds. Compared with the observable factor models in corporate bond and equity markets, the latent factor model can better describe the common variation in realized returns, and exhibit smaller pricing errors both in-sample and out-of-sample.

Suggested Citation

  • Li, Zhiyong & Wang, Haixu & Yu, Mei, 2023. "Beyond rocket science: A factor model for convertible bond returns," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:233:y:2023:i:c:s0165176523003877
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2023.111362
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Factor model; Convertible bonds; Return predictability; Option pricing;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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