IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecofin/v71y2024ics106294082400010x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The impact of climate change on credit risk of rural financial institutions: A threshold effect based on agricultural insurance

Author

Listed:
  • Ma, Qianting
  • Zhou, Yueshu
  • Wang, Jiaji

Abstract

Climate change affects the stability of the rural financial system. This paper uses the multi-agent model to deduce the impact mechanism of climate change on the credit risk of rural financial institutions, and conducts a series of empirical tests. The results show that: (i) climate change has an adverse impact on the credit risk of rural financial institutions. (ii) agricultural insurance shows a threshold effect in the process of climate change affecting the credit risk of rural financial institutions. (iii) high-level agricultural insurance can mitigate the adverse impact of climate change on the credit risk of rural financial institutions. It reveals that the agricultural insurance is a crucial policy for taking precautions.

Suggested Citation

  • Ma, Qianting & Zhou, Yueshu & Wang, Jiaji, 2024. "The impact of climate change on credit risk of rural financial institutions: A threshold effect based on agricultural insurance," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:71:y:2024:i:c:s106294082400010x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2024.102086
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S106294082400010X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.najef.2024.102086?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bluhm, Richard & Krause, Melanie, 2022. "Top lights: Bright cities and their contribution to economic development," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    2. Johannes Stroebel & Jeffrey Wurgler, 2021. "What Do You Think about Climate Finance?," CESifo Working Paper Series 9350, CESifo.
    3. Hansen, Bruce E., 1999. "Threshold effects in non-dynamic panels: Estimation, testing, and inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 93(2), pages 345-368, December.
    4. He, Xiaoping & Yu, Yuxuan & Jiang, Shuo, 2023. "City centrality, population density and energy efficiency," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    5. Klomp, Jeroen, 2014. "Financial fragility and natural disasters: An empirical analysis," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 180-192.
    6. Francesco Lamperti & Valentina Bosetti & Andrea Roventini & Massimo Tavoni, 2019. "The public costs of climate-induced financial instability," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 9(11), pages 829-833, November.
    7. Lux, Thomas, 2016. "A model of the topology of the bank – firm credit network and its role as channel of contagion," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 36-53.
    8. Andreas Hadjixenophontos & Christos Christodoulou-Volos, 2018. "Financial Crisis and Capital Adequacy Ratio: A Case Study for Cypriot Commercial Banks," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 8(3), pages 1-6.
    9. Ma, Qianting & He, Jianmin & Li, Shouwei, 2018. "Endogenous network of firms and systemic risk," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 492(C), pages 2273-2280.
    10. Ariel Ortiz-Bobea & Toby R. Ault & Carlos M. Carrillo & Robert G. Chambers & David B. Lobell, 2021. "Anthropogenic climate change has slowed global agricultural productivity growth," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 11(4), pages 306-312, April.
    11. DeYoung, Robert & Jang, Karen Y., 2016. "Do banks actively manage their liquidity?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 143-161.
    12. Zhang, Dayong & Zhang, Zhiwei & Managi, Shunsuke, 2019. "A bibliometric analysis on green finance: Current status, development, and future directions," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 425-430.
    13. Kerry Liu, 2019. "Chinese Asset Management Industry: Its Categories, Growth and Regulations," Chinese Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(1), pages 41-55, January.
    14. Sun, Yongping & Yang, Ying & Huang, Nan & Zou, Xin, 2020. "The impacts of climate change risks on financial performance of mining industry: Evidence from listed companies in China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    15. Giuliana Birindelli & Graziella Bonanno & Stefano Dell'Atti & Antonia Patrizia Iannuzzi, 2022. "Climate change commitment, credit risk and the country's environmental performance: Empirical evidence from a sample of international banks," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(4), pages 1641-1655, May.
    16. Yusuke Kuwayama & Alexandra Thompson & Richard Bernknopf & Benjamin Zaitchik & Peter Vail, 2019. "Estimating the Impact of Drought on Agriculture Using the U.S. Drought Monitor," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 101(1), pages 193-210.
    17. Hansen, James & Hellin, Jon & Rosenstock, Todd & Fisher, Eleanor & Cairns, Jill & Stirling, Clare & Lamanna, Christine & van Etten, Jacob & Rose, Alison & Campbell, Bruce, 2019. "Climate risk management and rural poverty reduction," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 28-46.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Yin, Zhujia & Deng, Rantian & Xia, Jiejin & Zhao, Lili, 2024. "Climate risk and corporate ESG performance: Evidence from China," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Liu, Zhonglu & He, Shuguang & Men, Wenjiao & Sun, Haibo, 2024. "Impact of climate risk on financial stability: Cross-country evidence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    2. Le, Anh-Tuan & Tran, Thao Phuong & Mishra, Anil V., 2023. "Climate risk and bank stability: International evidence," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 70.
    3. Hamdi, Helmi & Hakimi, Abdelaziz, 2019. "Does Liquidity Matter on Bank Profitability? Evidence from a Nonlinear Framework for a Large Sample," Business and Economics Research Journal, Uludag University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 10(1), pages 13-26, January.
    4. Pauline AVRIL & Grégory LEVIEUGE & Camélia TURCU, 2021. "Natural Disasters and Financial Stress: Can Macroprudential Regulation Tame Green Swans?," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 2913, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
    5. De Bandt Olivier, & Jacolin Luc, & Lemaire Thibault., 2021. "Climate Change in Developing Countries: Global Warming Effects,Transmission Channels and Adaptation Policies," Working papers 822, Banque de France.
    6. Noluthando Mngadi & Hossana Twinomurinzi, 2023. "Quantifying Causality between Climate Change and Credit Risk: A Bibliometric Study and Research Agenda," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-15, June.
    7. Antoine Mandel & Timothy Tiggeloven & Daniel Lincke & Elco Koks & Philip Ward & Jochen Hinkel, 2021. "Risks on global financial stability induced by climate change: the case of flood risks," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 166(1), pages 1-24, May.
    8. Pratap S. Birthal & Jaweriah Hazrana & Digvijay S. Negi, 2021. "Effectiveness of Farmers’ Risk Management Strategies in Smallholder Agriculture: Evidence from India," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 169(3), pages 1-35, December.
    9. Chen, Xia & Zhao, Xinxin & Chang, Chun-Ping, 2023. "The shocks of natural disasters on NPLs: Global evidence," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 47(1).
    10. Carè, R. & Weber, O., 2023. "How much finance is in climate finance? A bibliometric review, critiques, and future research directions," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    11. Djebali, Nesrine & Zaghdoudi, Khemais, 2020. "Threshold effects of liquidity risk and credit risk on bank stability in the MENA region," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 42(5), pages 1049-1063.
    12. Lingke Wu & Dehong Liu & Tiantian Lin, 2023. "The Impact of Climate Change on Financial Stability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-18, July.
    13. Huasheng Zhu & Changwei Geng & Yawei Chen, 2024. "Urban–Rural Integration and Agricultural Technology Innovation: Evidence from China," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-33, October.
    14. Xia Chen & Chun-Ping Chang, 2021. "The shocks of natural hazards on financial systems," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 105(3), pages 2327-2359, February.
    15. Agus Sugiarto & Ni Nyoman Puspani & Mustika Septiyas Trisilia, 2023. "The Shocks of Climate Change on Bank Loans," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(5), pages 493-514, September.
    16. Ma, Dandan & Zhang, Yunhan & Ji, Qiang & Zhao, Wan-Li & Zhai, Pengxiang, 2024. "Heterogeneous impacts of climate change news on China's financial markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    17. Zhang, Dayong & Managi, Shunsuke, 2020. "Financial development, natural disasters, and economics of the Pacific small island states," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 168-181.
    18. Chiu, Chien-Liang & Chang, Ting-Huan, 2009. "What proportion of renewable energy supplies is needed to initially mitigate CO2 emissions in OECD member countries?," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 13(6-7), pages 1669-1674, August.
    19. Cortney Cowley & Jacob Dice & David Rodziewicz, 2023. "Drought and Cattle: Implications for Ranchers," Research Working Paper RWP 23-06, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    20. Nicolas Canry & Julien Fouquau & Sébastien Lechevalier, 2011. "Sectoral Price Dynamics in Japan: A Threshold Approach," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(2), pages 1322-1335.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Rural financial institutions; Credit risk; Climate change; Agricultural insurance; Threshold effect;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:71:y:2024:i:c:s106294082400010x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/620163 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.