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Why dollarization didn't succeed: Comparing credibility and the impact of real shocks on small open economies

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  • Cabral, René

Abstract

This paper compares credibility and the impact of real shocks on a small open economy operating under two opposite corner solutions: a flexible exchange rate and official dollarization. Using an asymmetric two-country model, we show that although dollarization is an effective device to achieve price stability and avoid credibility problems, small open economies might be better off under a flexible regime than under dollarization following any symmetric or asymmetric shock. We also show that even when a small economy follows "fear of floating" practices, the costs of stabilization are smaller than those under dollarization. We interpret these results as consistent with the demise of the dollarization debate.

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  • Cabral, René, 2010. "Why dollarization didn't succeed: Comparing credibility and the impact of real shocks on small open economies," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 297-313, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:21:y:2010:i:3:p:297-313
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Marina Tkalec, 2013. "The Dynamics of Deposit Euroization in European Post-Transition Countries: Evidence from Threshold VAR," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 1, pages 66-83.
    2. Emilio Ocampo, 2023. "Dollarization as an Effective Commitment Device: The Case of Argentina," CEMA Working Papers: Serie Documentos de Trabajo. 848, Universidad del CEMA.
    3. René Cabral & Francisco G. Carneiro & André Varella Mollick, 2020. "Inflation targeting and exchange rate volatility in emerging markets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(2), pages 605-626, February.
    4. Andre Varella Mollick, 2016. "Adoption of the Gold Standard and Real Exchange Rates in the Core and Periphery, 1870–1913," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(1), pages 89-107, April.
    5. Best, Gabriela, 2013. "Fear of floating or monetary policy as usual? A structural analysis of Mexico's monetary policy," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 45-62.

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