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Disinflation costs in China and monetary policy regimes

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  • Ferrara, Maria
  • Garofalo, Antonio
  • Agovino, Massimiliano

Abstract

This paper investigates the real effects of a disinflationary policy in China, in which we conduct a disinflation experiment in a medium-scale New Keynesian model. We highlight two key features of China's economy: the relevance of money to monetary policy rules and household inequality. For the former, we consider two monetary policy regimes: an expanded Taylor rule with money and a money supply rule. For the latter, we take into account a share of the population that is limited in its ability to participate in assets markets. Our analysis suggests that a disinflation policy is more costly when the central bank controls the money supply than the case in which the nominal interest rate is the policy instrument. Our results are driven by the different impacts of disinflation on nominal and real interest rates under the two regimes.

Suggested Citation

  • Ferrara, Maria & Garofalo, Antonio & Agovino, Massimiliano, 2020. "Disinflation costs in China and monetary policy regimes," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 586-594.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:93:y:2020:i:c:p:586-594
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2020.09.004
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    2. Ma, Yong & Lv, Lin, 2022. "Money, debt, and the effects of fiscal stimulus," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 152-178.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    China; Disinflation; DSGE modelling; Monetary policy; LAMP assumption;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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