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Can financial media sentiment predict merger and acquisition performance?

Author

Listed:
  • Yang, Bo
  • Sun, Ji
  • Guo, Jie (Michael)
  • Fu, Jiayi

Abstract

This paper explores whether and how media serves as an information intermediary in the capital market and predicts value creation from mergers and acquisitions (M&As). Using a sample of 288 M&A deals in the U.S. market from 2000 to 2015, this paper examines whether pre-merger news about acquirers correlates to M&A performance. The empirical evidence shows that a positive media attitude before merger announcements has predictive power for stock returns in both the short and long run. Moreover, media pessimism is associated with higher bid premiums, meaning that acquirers must raise the bid price to offset the negative effects produced by the media. These findings suggest that media news contains information relevant to M&A performance and thus has implications for shareholder wealth.

Suggested Citation

  • Yang, Bo & Sun, Ji & Guo, Jie (Michael) & Fu, Jiayi, 2019. "Can financial media sentiment predict merger and acquisition performance?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 121-129.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:80:y:2019:i:c:p:121-129
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2018.10.009
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Xu, Weidong & Luo, Zijun & Li, Donghui, 2024. "Investor–firm interactions and corporate investment efficiency: Evidence from China," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    2. Ye, Jing & Xue, Minggao, 2021. "Influences of sentiment from news articles on EU carbon prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    3. Shams, Syed & Bose, Sudipta & Sheikhbahaei, Ali, 2024. "Pricing media sentiment: Evidence from global mergers and acquisitions," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    4. Tampakoudis, Ioannis & Nerantzidis, Michail & Eweje, Gabriel & Leventis, Stergios, 2022. "The impact of gender diversity on shareholder wealth: Evidence from European bank M&A," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    5. Chen, Yugang & Lu, Jihua & Ma, Weidong & Kumar, Satish & Shahab, Yasir, 2024. "Dispersion in news sentiment and M&As outcomes," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    6. Lehrer, Steven & Xie, Tian & Zhang, Xinyu, 2021. "Social media sentiment, model uncertainty, and volatility forecasting," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    7. Na Qin & Yiping Liu, 2022. "Performance Compensation Commitment in Mergers and Acquisitions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-14, December.
    8. Huang, Wenxuan & Xu, Weidong & Li, Donghui & Zhao, Ling & Yang, Shijie, 2024. "Does market misvaluation drive cross-border M&As?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    9. Giang Phung & Michael Troege, 2022. "Difficult to digest: Takeovers of distressed banks in Vietnam," Economics of Transition and Institutional Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 30(3), pages 489-516, July.
    10. Gao, Xin & An, Zhe & Li, Donghui & Xu, Weidong, 2024. "Does media affect the rival response to acquisition targets?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    11. Tang, Haodan & Fang, Senhui & Jiang, Dianchun, 2022. "The market value effect of digital mergers and acquisitions: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    12. An, Suwei, 2023. "Essays on incentive contracts, M&As, and firm risk," Other publications TiSEM dd97d2f5-1c9d-47c5-ba62-f, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    13. Gao, Xin & Xu, Weidong & Li, Donghui & Xing, Lu, 2021. "Media coverage and investment efficiency," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 270-293.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Media attitude; Merger and acquisitions; Merger performance;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G34 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Mergers; Acquisitions; Restructuring; Corporate Governance

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