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A factor-augmented VAR approach: The effect of a rise in the US personal income tax rate on the US and Canada

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  • Laganà, Gianluca
  • Sgro, Pasquale Michael

Abstract

In this paper a factor-augmented vector autoregressive (FAVAR) model is estimated to characterize the dynamic effects of shocks in the personal income tax rate in the United States on United States and Canadian economies. The representation and the estimate of the FAVAR model is based on Stock and Watson (2005) and the shocks are recovered applying the identification scheme proposed by Bernanke et al. (2005); this method allows impulse response functions to be generated for all the variables in the dataset and provides a description of the domestic and international transmission mechanisms of United States movements in the personal income tax rate. A distinguishing feature of our model is the disaggregation of traded goods sector where imports and exports are disaggregated into 12 and 13 industries, respectively. This provides extra information on the domestic and international transmission mechanism across the two countries. The results show that the FAVAR approach generates a reasonable characterisation of the effects of United States movements in the US personal income tax rate on the United States economy and its transmission to the Canadian economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Laganà, Gianluca & Sgro, Pasquale Michael, 2011. "A factor-augmented VAR approach: The effect of a rise in the US personal income tax rate on the US and Canada," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 1163-1169, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:28:y:2011:i:3:p:1163-1169
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    Cited by:

    1. Takao Fujii & Kazuki Hiraga & Masafumi Kozuka, 2012. "Analyses of Public Investment Shock in Japan: Factor Augmented Vector Autoregressive Approach," Keio/Kyoto Joint Global COE Discussion Paper Series 2012-006, Keio/Kyoto Joint Global COE Program.
    2. Gianluca Lagana & Pasquale Sgro, 2011. "Fiscal Policy and US-Canadian Trade," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(2), pages 1856-1868.
    3. Hodula Martin & Pfeifer Lukáš, 2018. "Fiscal-Monetary-Financial Stability Interactions in a Data-Rich Environment," Review of Economic Perspectives, Sciendo, vol. 18(3), pages 195-224, September.
    4. Fujii, Takao & Hiraga, Kazuki & Kozuka, Masafumi, 2013. "Effects of public investment on sectoral private investment: A factor augmented VAR approach," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 35-47.
    5. Laganà, Gianluca & Sgro, Pasquale Michael, 2013. "North American trade and US monetary policy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 698-705.
    6. Martin Hodula & Lukas Pfeifer, 2018. "The Impact of Credit Booms and Economic Policy on Labour Productivity: A Sectoral Analysis," ACTA VSFS, University of Finance and Administration, vol. 12(1), pages 10-42.

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