IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecanpo/v81y2024icp115-133.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Shadow banking, investment and interest rate transmission: Evidence from macroprudential policy in China

Author

Listed:
  • Li, Weixue
  • Wang, Sipei
  • Cheung, Adrian (Wai Kong)
  • Xu, Changsheng

Abstract

In this study, we investigate the impact of shadow banking on the effectiveness of price-based monetary policy, which uses interest rates to stabilize prices as an intermediate target. Based on the data analysis of Chinese A-share listed companies from 2010 to 2021, we find that shadow banking significantly increases the sensitivity of investment to the benchmark interest rate and increases the effectiveness of the price-based monetary policy. By considering the implementation of the macroprudential assessment (MPA) system as a quasi-natural experiment, we find that the sensitivity of investment to the benchmark interest rate decreases significantly in non-state-owned enterprises (non-SOEs). Additionally, the MPA system is more likely to influence the sensitivity of investment to the interest rate in non-SOEs if they are uncollateralized, non-high-tech, or competitive. In the transition stage of promoting the price-based monetary policy, the Chinese government should actively regulate the development of shadow banking to alleviate the financing difficulties faced by non-SOEs and improve the efficiency of the interest rate transmission mechanism.

Suggested Citation

  • Li, Weixue & Wang, Sipei & Cheung, Adrian (Wai Kong) & Xu, Changsheng, 2024. "Shadow banking, investment and interest rate transmission: Evidence from macroprudential policy in China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 115-133.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecanpo:v:81:y:2024:i:c:p:115-133
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2023.11.013
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0313592623002953
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.eap.2023.11.013?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jacobson, Louis S & LaLonde, Robert J & Sullivan, Daniel G, 1993. "Earnings Losses of Displaced Workers," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 83(4), pages 685-709, September.
    2. Michael Funke & Petar Mihaylovski & Haibin Zhu, "undated". "Monetary policy transmission in China: A DSGE model with parallel shadow banking and interest rate control," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2016_007, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
    3. Allen, Franklin & Qian, Yiming & Tu, Guoqian & Yu, Frank, 2019. "Entrusted loans: A close look at China's shadow banking system," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(1), pages 18-41.
    4. repec:zbw:bofitp:2015_009 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. John B. Taylor, 1995. "The Monetary Transmission Mechanism: An Empirical Framework," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 9(4), pages 11-26, Fall.
    6. Torsten Ehlers & Steven Kong & Feng Zhu, 2018. "Mapping shadow banking in China: structure and dynamics," BIS Working Papers 701, Bank for International Settlements.
    7. Kinda Hachem, 2018. "Shadow Banking in China," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 10(1), pages 287-308, November.
    8. Buchak, Greg & Matvos, Gregor & Piskorski, Tomasz & Seru, Amit, 2018. "Fintech, regulatory arbitrage, and the rise of shadow banks," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(3), pages 453-483.
    9. Chen, Hongyi & Chow, Kenneth & Tillmann, Peter, 2017. "The effectiveness of monetary policy in China: Evidence from a Qual VAR," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 216-231.
    10. Guo, Shen & Lin, Guiting & Ouyang, Alice Y., 2023. "Are pro-SME credit policies effective? Evidence from shadow banking in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    11. Zheng (Michael) Song & Wei Xiong, 2018. "Risks in China's Financial System," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 10(1), pages 261-286, November.
    12. Chen, Zhuo & He, Zhiguo & Liu, Chun, 2020. "The financing of local government in China: Stimulus loan wanes and shadow banking waxes," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(1), pages 42-71.
    13. Kaiji Chen & Jue Ren & Tao Zha, 2018. "The Nexus of Monetary Policy and Shadow Banking in China," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 108(12), pages 3891-3936, December.
    14. Rubio, Margarita & Carrasco-Gallego, José A., 2016. "The new financial regulation in Basel III and monetary policy: A macroprudential approach," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 294-305.
    15. Bartlett, Robert & Morse, Adair & Stanton, Richard & Wallace, Nancy, 2022. "Consumer-lending discrimination in the FinTech Era," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(1), pages 30-56.
    16. Bernanke, Ben S & Blinder, Alan S, 1992. "The Federal Funds Rate and the Channels of Monetary Transmission," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 82(4), pages 901-921, September.
    17. Stephen D. Oliner & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 1996. "Is there a broad credit channel for monetary policy?," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 3-13.
    18. Wan, Jianjun & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2023. "Corporate investment and the dilemma of the monetary policy: Evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 106-121.
    19. Xiao-Li Gong & Xiong Xiong & Wei Zhang, 2021. "Shadow banking, monetary policy and systemic risk," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(14), pages 1672-1693, March.
    20. Fernald, John G. & Spiegel, Mark M. & Swanson, Eric T., 2014. "Monetary policy effectiveness in China: Evidence from a FAVAR model," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(PA), pages 83-103.
    21. Markus Brunnermeier & Simon Rother & Isabel Schnabel & Itay Goldstein, 2020. "Asset Price Bubbles and Systemic Risk," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 33(9), pages 4272-4317.
    22. Li, Xiao-Lin & Si, Deng-Kui & Ge, Xinyu, 2021. "China’s interest rate pass-through after the interest rate liberalization: Evidence from a nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 257-274.
    23. Huseyin Gulen & Mihai Ion, 2016. "Editor's Choice Policy Uncertainty and Corporate Investment," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 29(3), pages 523-564.
    24. repec:zbw:bofitp:urn:nbn:fi:bof-201503181118 is not listed on IDEAS
    25. Shi Liang & Xuefeng Shao, 2022. "Data Mining and Economic Application in the Age of Financial Big Data: A Case Study of Shadow Banking and Interest Rate Liberalization in China," Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Hindawi, vol. 2022, pages 1-8, June.
    26. Chen, Shiyi & Lin, Bin, 2019. "Dual-track interest rates and capital misallocation," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    27. Li, Kai & Yue, Heng & Zhao, Longkai, 2009. "Ownership, institutions, and capital structure: Evidence from China," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 471-490, September.
    28. Cheng, Xiaoqiang & Wang, Yabin, 2022. "Shadow banking and the bank lending channel of monetary policy in China," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    29. Wen-Yi Chen, 2017. "Demographic structure and monetary policy effectiveness: evidence from Taiwan," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 51(6), pages 2521-2544, November.
    30. Yang, Zhonghai & Lu, Yang & Tan, Wenhao, 2021. "Monetary policy tightening, accounting information comparability, and underinvestment: Evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 123-147.
    31. Shen Zhang & Jing Wan, 2017. "Do China’s Shadow Banking Interest Rates Capture Its Monetary Policy Stance?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(12), pages 2686-2695, December.
    32. Kairong Xiao & Francesca Cornelli, 2020. "Monetary Transmission through Shadow Banks," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 33(6), pages 2379-2420.
    33. Song, Zheng (Michael) & Xiong, Wei, 2018. "Risks in China's financial system," BOFIT Discussion Papers 1/2018, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    34. Kinda Hachem & Zheng Song, 2021. "Liquidity Rules and Credit Booms," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 129(10), pages 2721-2765.
    35. Lakdawala, Aeimit & Minetti, Raoul & Schaffer, Matthew, 2021. "Bank regulation and monetary policy transmission: Evidence from the U.S. States liberalization," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    36. Harjeet S. Bhabra & Tong Liu & Dogan Tirtiroglu, 2008. "Capital Structure Choice in a Nascent Market: Evidence from Listed Firms in China," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 37(2), pages 341-364, June.
    37. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Wang, Chih-Wei & Ho, Shan-Ju, 2020. "Financial innovation and bank growth: The role of institutional environments," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hasan, Iftekhar & Kwak, Boreum & Li, Xiang, 2024. "Financial technologies and the effectiveness of monetary policy transmission," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    2. Cheng, Xiaoqiang & Wang, Yabin, 2022. "Shadow banking and the bank lending channel of monetary policy in China," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    3. Allen, Franklin & Gu, Xian & Li, C. Wei & Qian, Jun “QJ” & Qian, Yiming, 2023. "Implicit guarantees and the rise of shadow banking: The case of trust products," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(2), pages 115-141.
    4. Franklin Allen & Xian Gu, 2021. "Shadow banking in China compared to other countries," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 89(5), pages 407-419, September.
    5. Zhang, Shidai & Tsai, Kellee S., 2024. "‘One System, Two Shadows’: A local public finance perspective on China's shadow banking system," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    6. Jiang, Bo, 2024. "The real effect of shadow banking regulation: Evidence from China," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    7. Vinh Q. T. Dang & Isaac Otchere & Erin P. K. So & Isabel K. M. Yan, 2021. "Not all shadow banking is bad! Evidence from credit intermediation of non-financial Chinese firms," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 57(4), pages 1437-1462, November.
    8. Ma, Yongfan & Hu, Xingcun, 2024. "Shadow banking and SME investment: Evidence from China's new asset management regulations," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 332-349.
    9. Li, Huan & Ni, Jinlan & Xu, Yueli & Zhan, Minghua, 2021. "Monetary policy and its transmission channels: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    10. Yiping Huang & Xiang Li & Han Qiu & Changhua Yu, 2023. "Big tech credit and monetary policy transmission: micro-level evidence from China," BIS Working Papers 1084, Bank for International Settlements.
    11. Wei, Xin & Liu, Xi & Zhang, Xueyong, 2022. "Shadow banking and the cross-section of stock returns," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    12. Du, Julan & Li, Chang & Wang, Yongqin, 2023. "Shadow banking of non-financial firms: Arbitrage between formal and informal credit markets in China," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    13. repec:zbw:bofitp:2021_015 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Phuong Mai Le, Vo & Matthews, Kent & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Xiao, Zhiguo, 2022. "Regulatory arbitrage, shadow banking and monetary policy in China," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    15. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Ni, Wenjie & Zhang, Xiaoming, 2023. "FinTech development and commercial bank efficiency in China," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    16. Acharya, Viral & Qian, Jun & Su, Yang & Yang, Zhishu, 2020. "In the Shadow of Banks: Wealth Management Products and Issuing Banks’ Risks in China," CEPR Discussion Papers 14957, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    17. Jiang, Lunan & Chen, Yinghui & Zhang, Lin, 2024. "Monetary policy surprises and corporate investment growth in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    18. Chen, Yunping & Chen, Huanhuan & Li, Guorong & Jiao, Dongdan & Xu, Xiangyun, 2021. "Time-varying effect of macro-prudential policies on household credit growth: Evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 241-254.
    19. Cai, Yue, 2021. "Expansionary monetary policy and credit allocation: Evidence from China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    20. Yan, Youliang & Wang, Maochuan & Hu, Guoliu & Jiang, Chengxin, 2024. "Does Confucian culture affect shadow banking activities? Evidence from Chinese listed companies," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    21. Zhang, Qiuyue & Que, Jiangjing & Qin, Xiuting, 2023. "Regional financial technology and shadow banking activities of non-financial firms: Evidence from China," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Shadow banking; Interest rate transmission mechanism; Monetary policy; Macroprudential policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecanpo:v:81:y:2024:i:c:p:115-133. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/economic-analysis-and-policy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.