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Endogenous fluctuations in an open economy with increasing returns to scale

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  • Aloi, Marta
  • Dixon, Huw D.
  • Lloyd-Braga, Teresa

Abstract

In this paper we study the effects of opening an economy, with increasing returns in the production of non traded goods, on the existence of multiple Pareto-ranked stationary equilibria, local indeterminacy and bifurcations. We consider a standard Overlapping Generation Model of a small open economy, with a fixed exchange rate, where labour is the only input and money the only asset. We find that when there are increasing returns, the open economy may display persistent equilibrium endogenous fluctuations (deterministic and stochastic) in the balance of trade and main macroeconomic aggregates.
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  • Aloi, Marta & Dixon, Huw D. & Lloyd-Braga, Teresa, 2000. "Endogenous fluctuations in an open economy with increasing returns to scale," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 24(1), pages 97-125, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:24:y:2000:i:1:p:97-125
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    3. Dos Santos Ferreira, Rodolphe & Lloyd-Braga, Teresa, 2005. "Non-linear endogenous fluctuations with free entry and variable markups," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 29(5), pages 847-871, May.
    4. Thomas Seegmuller, 2005. "Steady state analysis and endogenous fluctuations in a finance constrained model," Cahiers de la Maison des Sciences Economiques v05029, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1).
    5. Fanti, Luciano & Gori, Luca, 2011. "Public health spending, old-age productivity and economic growth: Chaotic cycles under perfect foresight," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 78(1-2), pages 137-151, April.
    6. Thomas Seegmuller, 2004. "Endogenous Cycles in aTwo-sector Overlapping Generations Model under Intertemporal Substitutability," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 74, pages 131-146.
    7. De Palma, Francesco & Seegmuller, Thomas, 2005. "Dual Labor Market And Endogenous Fluctuations," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 9(3), pages 398-411, June.
    8. Modesto, Leonor & Lloyd-Braga, Teresa & Coimbra, Rui, 2002. "Endogenous Growth Fluctuations in Unionised Economy with Productive Externalities," CEPR Discussion Papers 3230, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    9. Orlando Gomes, 2010. "Consumer confidence, endogenous growth and endogenous cycles," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 37(4), pages 377-404, September.
    10. Orlando Gomes, 2007. "The Dynamics of Growth and Migrations with Congestion Externalities," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 15(1), pages 1-8.
    11. Andreas Wagener, 2003. "Equilibrium dynamics with different types of pay-as-you-go pension schemes," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 8(6), pages 1-12.
    12. Thomas Seegmuller, 2009. "Capital–Labour Substitution And Endogenous Fluctuations: A Monopolistic Competition Approach With Variable Markup," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 60(3), pages 301-319, September.
    13. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:8:y:2003:i:6:p:1-12 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Gomes, Orlando, 2009. "A two-dimensional non-equilibrium dynamic model," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 221-238, September.
    15. Thomas SEEGMULLER & Alban VERCHÈRE, 2005. "Environment in an Overlapping Generations Economy with Endogenous Labor Supply : a Dynamic Analysis," Working Papers of BETA 2005-05, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    16. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:1-8 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Antoine Le Riche, 2017. "Macroeconomic volatility and trade in OLG economies," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 13(4), pages 401-425, December.
    18. Gomes, Orlando, 2006. "Heterogeneous Researchers in a Two-Sector Representative Consumer Economy," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 60(2), November.
    19. Francesco de Palma & Thomas Seegmuller, 2005. "Dual Labor Market and Endogenous Fluctuations," Post-Print halshs-00194165, HAL.
    20. Guido Cazzavillan & Patrick A. Pintus, 2004. "Robustness of Multiple Equilibria in OLG Economies," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 7(2), pages 456-475, April.
    21. Orlando Gomes, 2006. "Endogenous Business Cycles in the Ramsey Growth Model," Zagreb International Review of Economics and Business, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb, vol. 9(2), pages 13-36, November.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D43 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - Oligopoly and Other Forms of Market Imperfection
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F40 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - General

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