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Misallocation of debt and aggregate productivity

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  • Kim, Hwagyun
  • Mathur, Vipul
  • Shin, Jong Kook
  • Subramanian, Chetan

Abstract

We propose an accounting framework that maps the dispersion of borrowing costs along the debt maturity structure to the misallocation of productive resources. Specifically, we decompose the effects of credit misallocation into two distinct channels: limited access to debt finance (the scale effect) and distortion in the composition of debt across maturities (the composition effect). Our estimates suggest that an efficient allocation of debt could increase TFP by approximately 14.4% in the US manufacturing sector, of which roughly 10% is attributable to the composition of debt. Reducing inefficiencies in the composition of debt would result in TFP losses due to access and composition of factor inputs being reduced by 9.7% and 0.4%, respectively.

Suggested Citation

  • Kim, Hwagyun & Mathur, Vipul & Shin, Jong Kook & Subramanian, Chetan, 2023. "Misallocation of debt and aggregate productivity," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:corfin:v:83:y:2023:i:c:s0929119923001426
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2023.102493
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    1. Li, Chenglin & Dong, Xuehan & Qin, Yi, 2024. "The misallocation of finance in China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Debt finance; Debt maturity structure; Corporate term spread; Liquidity production; Resource misallocation; Productivity loss;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G31 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Capital Budgeting; Fixed Investment and Inventory Studies
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance

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