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On pulse vaccine strategy in a periodic stochastic SIR epidemic model

Author

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  • Wang, Fengyan
  • Wang, Xiaoyi
  • Zhang, Shuwen
  • Ding, Changming

Abstract

A periodic stochastic SIR epidemic model with pulse vaccination is studied. The system has global positive solutions and under some conditions it admits a unique positive periodic disease-free solution, which is globally exponentially stable in mean square. The mathematical expectation and variance of the positive periodic solution are obtained. Two threshold parameters R1 and R2 (R1>R2) are identified; if R1<1, the susceptible will be persistent in the mean and the disease will go to extinction; if R2>1, the susceptible and the disease will be weakly persistent in the mean. We show that by repeatedly vaccinating the susceptible population in series of pulses, it is possible to eradicate the infective from the entire model population in the random environment.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Fengyan & Wang, Xiaoyi & Zhang, Shuwen & Ding, Changming, 2014. "On pulse vaccine strategy in a periodic stochastic SIR epidemic model," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 127-135.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:66:y:2014:i:c:p:127-135
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2014.06.003
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    1. Lu, Jun-Xiang & Ma, Yichen, 2008. "Mean square exponential stability and periodic solutions of stochastic delay cellular neural networks," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 38(5), pages 1323-1331.
    2. Tornatore, Elisabetta & Maria Buccellato, Stefania & Vetro, Pasquale, 2005. "Stability of a stochastic SIR system," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 354(C), pages 111-126.
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    Cited by:

    1. Liu, Qun & Jiang, Daqing & Hayat, Tasawar & Ahmad, Bashir, 2017. "Periodic solution and stationary distribution of stochastic SIR epidemic models with higher order perturbation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 482(C), pages 209-217.
    2. Zhang, Xuekang & Huang, Chengzhe & Deng, Shounian, 2024. "Nonparametric estimation for periodic stochastic differential equations driven by G-Brownian motion," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    3. Fu, Xiaoming, 2019. "On invariant measures and the asymptotic behavior of a stochastic delayed SIRS epidemic model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 523(C), pages 1008-1023.
    4. Liu, Qun & Jiang, Daqing & Shi, Ningzhong & Hayat, Tasawar & Alsaedi, Ahmed, 2016. "Nontrivial periodic solution of a stochastic non-autonomous SISV epidemic model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 462(C), pages 837-845.
    5. Zhang, Yue & Li, Yang & Zhang, Qingling & Li, Aihua, 2018. "Behavior of a stochastic SIR epidemic model with saturated incidence and vaccination rules," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 501(C), pages 178-187.
    6. Liu, Qun & Jiang, Daqing & Shi, Ningzhong & Hayat, Tasawar & Alsaedi, Ahmed, 2016. "Periodic solution for a stochastic nonautonomous SIR epidemic model with logistic growth," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 462(C), pages 816-826.
    7. Liu, Qun & Chen, Qingmei, 2016. "Dynamics of a stochastic SIR epidemic model with saturated incidence," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 282(C), pages 155-166.
    8. Teng, Zhidong & Wang, Lei, 2016. "Persistence and extinction for a class of stochastic SIS epidemic models with nonlinear incidence rate," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 451(C), pages 507-518.
    9. Liu, Qun & Chen, Qingmei, 2015. "Analysis of the deterministic and stochastic SIRS epidemic models with nonlinear incidence," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 428(C), pages 140-153.
    10. Zhou, Baoquan & Han, Bingtao & Jiang, Daqing, 2021. "Ergodic property, extinction and density function of a stochastic SIR epidemic model with nonlinear incidence and general stochastic perturbations," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    11. Wen, Buyu & Teng, Zhidong & Li, Zhiming, 2018. "The threshold of a periodic stochastic SIVS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 508(C), pages 532-549.
    12. Lan, Guijie & Chen, Zhewen & Wei, Chunjin & Zhang, Shuwen, 2018. "Stationary distribution of a stochastic SIQR epidemic model with saturated incidence and degenerate diffusion," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 511(C), pages 61-77.

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