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Predictive model for the risk of cardiovascular disease and type 2 diabetes in obese people

Author

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  • Meghatria, Farida
  • Belhamiti, Omar

Abstract

In this article, we study a predictive model of the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in obese populations and investigate its impact on the evolution of their health, terms related to lifestyle and risk factors are also incorporated. This model represented mathematically by a nonlinear temporal system of ordinary differential equations. An analysis of the stability of stationary solutions is also obtained to theoretically confirm the mathematical validity. Numerical simulations presented to explain the usefulness of the developed model; they show the role of a healthy lifestyle (diet, regular exercise, smoking, and increasing alcohol consumption above moderate levels) in alleviating the burden of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and can significantly reduce the risk to develop type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). On the other hand, risk factors management of obesity with complications greatly decreases the risk of developing other complications.

Suggested Citation

  • Meghatria, Farida & Belhamiti, Omar, 2021. "Predictive model for the risk of cardiovascular disease and type 2 diabetes in obese people," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:146:y:2021:i:c:s0960077921001879
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2021.110834
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