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Uncertainty and housing tenure choice by household types: Evidence from China

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  • Zhou, Jingkui

Abstract

In this paper, we propose an uncertainty-preference-housing choice model and empirically investigate the effect of uncertainty on the probability of homeownership using microdata from Chinese cities. Introducing several measures of uncertainty, we observe that after the reform of the housing distribution system, unemployment uncertainty negatively affects the housing tenure choices of high-income families, whereas educational expenditure uncertainty has a negative effect on the homeownership rates of low-income families. We also find that unemployment uncertainty negatively affects the housing choices of local families and that medical expenditure uncertainty has a negative effect on housing choice for migrant families. Finally, an increase in unemployment uncertainty decreases the homeownership rate among families in which the head of household did not experience the change in enterprise ownership.

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  • Zhou, Jingkui, 2011. "Uncertainty and housing tenure choice by household types: Evidence from China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 408-427, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:chieco:v:22:y:2011:i:3:p:408-427
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    2. Chu-Chia Lin & Po-Sheng Lai, 2018. "An Empirical Study on the Impact of Tenure Choice on Saving for Chinese Households," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 21(2), pages 275-294.
    3. Wu, Guiying Laura & Feng, Qu & Li, Pei, 2015. "Does local governments’ budget deficit push up housing prices in China?," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 183-196.
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    5. Bingqin Li & Hyun Bang Shin, 2013. "Intergenerational Housing Support Between Retired Old Parents and their Children in Urban China," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 50(16), pages 3225-3242, December.
    6. Iris Claus & Les Oxley & Jie Chen & Xuehui Han, 2014. "The Evolution Of The Housing Market And Its Socioeconomic Impacts In The Post-Reform People'S Republic Of China: A Survey Of The Literature," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(4), pages 652-670, September.
    7. Xiaodi Qin & Haitao Wu & Yifeng Xie & Xiaofang Zhang, 2022. "Lagging behind the Joneses: Relative Deprivation and Household Consumption in Rural China," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-14, November.
    8. Mingxing Chen & Wenzhong Zhang & Dadao Lu, 2015. "Examining spatial pattern and location choice of affordable housing in Beijing, China: Developing a workable assessment framework," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 52(10), pages 1846-1863, August.
    9. Jie Chen & Wei Wang & Yan Song, 2023. "Economic Potential Gain, Income Uncertainty, and Rural Migrants’ Urban Homeownership: Evidence from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-22, April.
    10. Coulson, N. Edward & Tang, Mingzhe, 2013. "Institutional and demographic influences on the presence, scale and geographic scope of individual Chinese real estate investment," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(2), pages 187-196.

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