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Are individual stock investors overconfident? Evidence from an emerging market

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  • Tekçe, Bülent
  • Yılmaz, Neslihan

Abstract

This paper investigates overconfidence among individual stock investors. We focus on Turkey in order to use a unique nationwide dataset and study how common overconfidence is, what factors affect overconfidence and how overconfidence relates to investor return performance. Our findings show that overconfident behavior is common among individual stock investors. Male, younger investors, investors with a lower portfolio value, and investors in low income and low education regions exhibit more overconfident behavior. Moreover, we find that overconfidence has a negative effect on portfolio wealth. To the best of our knowledge, our study is one of the few studies in the literature and the first in Turkey focusing on nationwide data to analyze overconfidence. We extend the findings of the behavioral finance literature to the Turkish market based on this dataset.

Suggested Citation

  • Tekçe, Bülent & Yılmaz, Neslihan, 2015. "Are individual stock investors overconfident? Evidence from an emerging market," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 5(C), pages 35-45.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:beexfi:v:5:y:2015:i:c:p:35-45
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2015.02.003
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Abrahamson, Martin, 2016. "“Rookies to the stock market: A portrait of new shareholders”," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 565-576.
    2. Şenol, Doğaç & Onay, Ceylan, 2023. "Impact of gamification on mitigating behavioral biases of investors," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    3. Bouteska, Ahmed & Harasheh, Murad & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul, 2023. "Revisiting overconfidence in investment decision-making: Further evidence from the U.S. market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    4. Esra Alp Coşkun & Hakan Kahyaoglu & Chi Keung Marco Lau, 2023. "Which return regime induces overconfidence behavior? Artificial intelligence and a nonlinear approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-34, December.
    5. Feng, Frank Yulin & Kang, Wenjin & Zhang, Huiping, 2023. "Liquidity shocks and the negative premium of liquidity volatility around the world," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    6. Jitender Kumar & Neha Prince, 2022. "Overconfidence bias in the Indian stock market in diverse market situations: an empirical study," International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management, Springer;The Society for Reliability, Engineering Quality and Operations Management (SREQOM),India, and Division of Operation and Maintenance, Lulea University of Technology, Sweden, vol. 13(6), pages 3031-3047, December.
    7. Del Giudice, Alfonso & Paltrinieri, Andrea, 2017. "The impact of the Arab Spring and the Ebola outbreak on African equity mutual fund investor decisions," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 600-612.

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