IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v182y2016icp58-67.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Quantifying self-consumption linked to solar home battery systems: Statistical analysis and economic assessment

Author

Listed:
  • Quoilin, Sylvain
  • Kavvadias, Konstantinos
  • Mercier, Arnaud
  • Pappone, Irene
  • Zucker, Andreas

Abstract

The recent development of new and innovative home battery systems has been seen by many as a catalyst for a solar energy revolution, and has created high expectations in the sector. Many observers have predicted an uptake of combined PV/battery units which could ultimately disconnect from the grid and lead to autonomous homes or micro-grids. However, most of the comments in social media, blogs or press articles lack proper cost evaluation and realistic simulations. We aim to bridge this gap by simulating self-consumption in various EU countries, for various household profiles, with or without battery. Results indicate that (1) self-consumption is a non-linear, almost asymptotic function of PV and battery sizes. Achieving 100% self-consumption (i.e. allowing for full off-grid operation) is not realistic for the studied countries without excessively oversizing the PV system and/or the battery; (2) although falling fast, the cost of domestic Li-Ion storage is most likely still too high for a large-scale market uptake in Europe; (3) home battery profitability and future uptake depend mainly on the indirect subsidies for self-consumption provided by the structure of retail prices; (4) the self-sufficiency rate varies widely between households. For a given household, the volume of self-consumption cannot be predicted in a deterministic way. Along with these results, this study also provides a database of synthetic household profiles, a simulation tool for the prediction of self-consumption and a method for the optimal sizing of such systems.

Suggested Citation

  • Quoilin, Sylvain & Kavvadias, Konstantinos & Mercier, Arnaud & Pappone, Irene & Zucker, Andreas, 2016. "Quantifying self-consumption linked to solar home battery systems: Statistical analysis and economic assessment," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 58-67.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:182:y:2016:i:c:p:58-67
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.08.077
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261916311643
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.08.077?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. De Boeck, L. & Van Asch, S. & De Bruecker, P. & Audenaert, A., 2016. "Comparison of support policies for residential photovoltaic systems in the major EU markets through investment profitability," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(P1), pages 42-53.
    2. Merei, Ghada & Moshövel, Janina & Magnor, Dirk & Sauer, Dirk Uwe, 2016. "Optimization of self-consumption and techno-economic analysis of PV-battery systems in commercial applications," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 171-178.
    3. Colmenar-Santos, Antonio & Campíñez-Romero, Severo & Pérez-Molina, Clara & Castro-Gil, Manuel, 2012. "Profitability analysis of grid-connected photovoltaic facilities for household electricity self-sufficiency," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 749-764.
    4. Hoppmann, Joern & Volland, Jonas & Schmidt, Tobias S. & Hoffmann, Volker H., 2014. "The economic viability of battery storage for residential solar photovoltaic systems – A review and a simulation model," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 1101-1118.
    5. Moshövel, Janina & Kairies, Kai-Philipp & Magnor, Dirk & Leuthold, Matthias & Bost, Mark & Gährs, Swantje & Szczechowicz, Eva & Cramer, Moritz & Sauer, Dirk Uwe, 2015. "Analysis of the maximal possible grid relief from PV-peak-power impacts by using storage systems for increased self-consumption," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 567-575.
    6. Kästel, Peter & Gilroy-Scott, Bryce, 2015. "Economics of pooling small local electricity prosumers—LCOE & self-consumption," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 718-729.
    7. Thygesen, Richard & Karlsson, Björn, 2016. "Simulation of a proposed novel weather forecast control for ground source heat pumps as a mean to evaluate the feasibility of forecast controls’ influence on the photovoltaic electricity self-consumpt," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 579-589.
    8. Luthander, Rasmus & Widén, Joakim & Nilsson, Daniel & Palm, Jenny, 2015. "Photovoltaic self-consumption in buildings: A review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 80-94.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Andreolli, Francesca & D’Alpaos, Chiara & Moretto, Michele, 2022. "Valuing investments in domestic PV-Battery Systems under uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    2. Schopfer, S. & Tiefenbeck, V. & Staake, T., 2018. "Economic assessment of photovoltaic battery systems based on household load profiles," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 223(C), pages 229-248.
    3. von Appen, J. & Braun, M., 2018. "Interdependencies between self-sufficiency preferences, techno-economic drivers for investment decisions and grid integration of residential PV storage systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C), pages 1140-1151.
    4. Resch, Matthias & Bühler, Jochen & Klausen, Mira & Sumper, Andreas, 2017. "Impact of operation strategies of large scale battery systems on distribution grid planning in Germany," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 1042-1063.
    5. Carlos J. Sarasa-Maestro & Rodolfo Dufo-López & José L. Bernal-Agustín, 2016. "Analysis of Photovoltaic Self-Consumption Systems," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-18, August.
    6. Azuatalam, Donald & Paridari, Kaveh & Ma, Yiju & Förstl, Markus & Chapman, Archie C. & Verbič, Gregor, 2019. "Energy management of small-scale PV-battery systems: A systematic review considering practical implementation, computational requirements, quality of input data and battery degradation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 555-570.
    7. Barbour, Edward & González, Marta C., 2018. "Projecting battery adoption in the prosumer era," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(C), pages 356-370.
    8. Schram, Wouter L. & Lampropoulos, Ioannis & van Sark, Wilfried G.J.H.M., 2018. "Photovoltaic systems coupled with batteries that are optimally sized for household self-consumption: Assessment of peak shaving potential," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 223(C), pages 69-81.
    9. Luthander, Rasmus & Widén, Joakim & Munkhammar, Joakim & Lingfors, David, 2016. "Self-consumption enhancement and peak shaving of residential photovoltaics using storage and curtailment," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 221-231.
    10. Luthander, Rasmus & Nilsson, Annica M. & Widén, Joakim & Åberg, Magnus, 2019. "Graphical analysis of photovoltaic generation and load matching in buildings: A novel way of studying self-consumption and self-sufficiency," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 250(C), pages 748-759.
    11. Claudia Gunther & Wolf-Peter Schill & Alexander Zerrahn, 2019. "Prosumage of solar electricity: tariff design, capacity investments, and power system effects," Papers 1907.09855, arXiv.org.
    12. Bertsch, Valentin & Geldermann, Jutta & Lühn, Tobias, 2017. "What drives the profitability of household PV investments, self-consumption and self-sufficiency?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 1-15.
    13. Günther, Claudia & Schill, Wolf-Peter & Zerrahn, Alexander, 2021. "Prosumage of solar electricity: Tariff design, capacity investments, and power sector effects," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 152.
    14. Francesca Andreolli & Chiara D'Alpaos & Peter Kort, 2023. "Does P2P Trading Favor Investments in PV-Battery Systems?," Working Papers 2023.02, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    15. Lahnaoui, Amin & Stenzel, Peter & Linssen, Jochen, 2018. "Techno-economic analysis of photovoltaic battery system configuration and location☆," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 227(C), pages 497-505.
    16. Yang, Ying & Campana, Pietro Elia & Yan, Jinyue, 2020. "Potential of unsubsidized distributed solar PV to replace coal-fired power plants, and profits classification in Chinese cities," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    17. Petrollese, Mario & Cau, Giorgio & Cocco, Daniele, 2018. "Use of weather forecast for increasing the self-consumption rate of home solar systems: An Italian case study," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 212(C), pages 746-758.
    18. Aniello, Gianmarco & Shamon, Hawal & Kuckshinrichs, Wilhelm, 2021. "Micro-economic assessment of residential PV and battery systems: The underrated role of financial and fiscal aspects," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 281(C).
    19. Lucas Deotti & Wanessa Guedes & Bruno Dias & Tiago Soares, 2020. "Technical and Economic Analysis of Battery Storage for Residential Solar Photovoltaic Systems in the Brazilian Regulatory Context," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-30, December.
    20. Han, Xuejiao & Garrison, Jared & Hug, Gabriela, 2022. "Techno-economic analysis of PV-battery systems in Switzerland," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:182:y:2016:i:c:p:58-67. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.