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Wage formation and employment in a cointegrated VAR model

Author

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  • THÓRARINN G. PÉTURSSON
  • TORSTEN SLØK

Abstract

This paper uses a general equilibrium, monopolistic competition model of wage bargaining between trade unions and firms to derive two steady state relations which are estimated within a cointegrated VAR framework using quarterly Danish data. The first coin-tegrating relation is the marginal productivity condition for labour, derived from profit max-imization of firms who face a downward sloping demand curve for their product. The sec-ond cointegrating relation is a real wage relation, derived from the bargaining between trade unions and firms over wages, in the right-to-manage manner. The theoretical model is not rejected and the model displays parameter constancy throughout the estimation period and is able to forecast out-of-sample.

Suggested Citation

  • Thórarinn G. Pétursson & Torsten Sløk, 2001. "Wage formation and employment in a cointegrated VAR model," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 4(2), pages 1-2.
  • Handle: RePEc:ect:emjrnl:v:4:y:2001:i:2:p:2
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    Cited by:

    1. Rita Duarte & Carlos Marques, 2013. "The dynamic effects of shocks to wages and prices in the United States and the Euro Area," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 44(2), pages 613-638, April.
    2. Aka, Bédia F. & P. Pieretti, 2008. "Wage Dynamics In A Structural Time Series Model For Luxembourg," International Journal of Applied Econometrics and Quantitative Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 5(2).
    3. Christis Katsouris, 2023. "Structural Analysis of Vector Autoregressive Models," Papers 2312.06402, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
    4. Jens Suedekum & Uwe Blien, 2004. "Wages and Employment Growth: Disaggregated Evidence for West Germany," ERSA conference papers ersa04p641, European Regional Science Association.
    5. Girardi, Riccardo & Paruolo, Paolo, 2013. "Wages and prices in Europe before and after the onset of the Monetary Union," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 643-653.
    6. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2007. "A Multivariate Long-Memory Model with Structural Breaks," CESifo Working Paper Series 1950, CESifo.

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