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Controlling the significance levels of prediction error tests for linear regression models

Author

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  • LESLIE G. GODFREY
  • CHRIS D. ORME

Abstract

This paper provides evidence on problems associated with using standard tests for predictive failure when the errors of a linear regression model are not normally distributed. The ability of a simple bootstrap procedure to give a useful degree of control over the significance levels is examined.

Suggested Citation

  • Leslie G. Godfrey & Chris D. Orme, 2000. "Controlling the significance levels of prediction error tests for linear regression models," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 3(1), pages 66-83.
    • Handle: RePEc:ect:emjrnl:v:3:y:2000:i:1:p:66-83
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Liew, Venus Khim-Sen, 2008. "An overview on various ways of bootstrap methods," MPRA Paper 7163, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Marilena Furno, 2011. "Goodness of Fit and Misspecification in Quantile Regressions," Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, , vol. 36(1), pages 105-131, February.
    3. Berg, Nathan, 2004. "No-decision classification: an alternative to testing for statistical significance," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 33(5), pages 631-650, November.
    4. Leslie G. Godfrey, 2005. "Controlling the Overall Significance Level of a Battery of Least Squares Diagnostic Tests," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 67(2), pages 263-279, April.
    5. Marilena Furno, 2008. "Quantile regressions analysis of the Italian school system," Working Papers 2008-06, Universita' di Cassino, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche.
    6. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:3:y:2004:i:12:p:1-7 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Chris D. Orme & Takashi Yamagata, 2006. "The asymptotic distribution of the F-test statistic for individual effects," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 9(3), pages 404-422, November.
    8. Furno, Marilena, 2013. "Quantile regression and structural change in the Italian wage equation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 420-434.
    9. Godfrey, L.G. & Tremayne, A.R., 2005. "The wild bootstrap and heteroskedasticity-robust tests for serial correlation in dynamic regression models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 377-395, April.
    10. Godfrey, Leslie G. & Orme, Chris D., 2002. "Using bootstrap methods to obtain nonnormality robust Chow prediction tests," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 76(3), pages 429-436, August.
    11. Lam, J. -P. & Veall, M. R., 2002. "Bootstrap prediction intervals for single period regression forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 125-130.

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