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The Relationship between Oil Prices and Inflation in Oil Ä°mporting Countries (1980-2022)

Author

Listed:
  • Lyazzat Kudabayeva

    (Taraz Regional University named after M.Kh.Dulaty, Taraz, Kazakhstan)

  • Aktolkin Abubakirova

    (Khoja Akhmet Yassawi International Kazakh-Turkish University, Turkestan, Kazakhstan)

  • Aliya Zurbayeva

    (Narxoz University, Almaty, Kazakhstan)

  • Gulnar Mussaeva

    (Taraz Regional University named after M.Kh.Dulaty, Taraz, Kazakhstan)

  • Gulbakyt Chimgentbayeva

    (Taraz Regional University named after M.Kh.Dulaty, Taraz, Kazakhstan)

Abstract

The increase in the price of oil, which is an important input in production, decreases the level of output, causes cost inflation and generally affects the economy negatively. In oil-importing countries, it leads to an increase in costs and a decrease in competitiveness in international trade, thus negatively affecting the balance of payments. The aim of this research is to investigate the relationships between oil price and inflation by using quarterly data between 1980Q1:2022Q4 in oil importing countries. In addition, it is aimed to determine the contribution of the GDP and unemployment rate variables, which are widely used in explaining inflation, as well as the inflationary effects of oil prices. According to the results of the study, the effect of oil prices on inflation differs from country to country. It is observed that Italy and France are the most affected countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Lyazzat Kudabayeva & Aktolkin Abubakirova & Aliya Zurbayeva & Gulnar Mussaeva & Gulbakyt Chimgentbayeva, 2024. "The Relationship between Oil Prices and Inflation in Oil Ä°mporting Countries (1980-2022)," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(1), pages 359-364, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2024-01-37
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Burbidge, John & Harrison, Alan, 1984. "Testing for the Effects of Oil-Price Rises Using Vector Autoregressions," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 25(2), pages 459-484, June.
    2. Cologni, Alessandro & Manera, Matteo, 2008. "Oil prices, inflation and interest rates in a structural cointegrated VAR model for the G-7 countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 856-888, May.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Oil Price; Oil Ä°mporting Countries; Ä°nflation; Panel Cointegration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • Q40 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - General

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