IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eco/journ2/2023-05-61.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Autoregressive Distributed Lag Modeling of Climate and Non-climatic Determinants Affecting Cereal Production: Empirical Evidence from Somalia

Author

Listed:
  • Dahir Abdi Ali

    (Faculty of Economics, SIMAD University, Mogadishu, Somalia.)

  • Aisha Mohamed Dahir

    (Faculty of Economics, SIMAD University, Mogadishu, Somalia.)

  • Sagal Mohamed Yusuf

    (Faculty of Economics, SIMAD University, Mogadishu, Somalia.)

Abstract

This study investigates the impact of climate and non-climate factors on cereal production in Somalia from 1990 to 2019. The study used the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) modeling approach to analyze the effect of CO2, temperature, rainfall, land under cereal production, and rural population on cereal production. The study employed the ARDL model to determine the long-run and short-run effects of the variables. The results indicate that all variables negatively impacted cereal production, except for land under cereal production, which had a positive effect on cereal production in both the short and long run. These findings suggest that policymakers should prioritize investment in land management practices to increase cereal production in Somalia. The study's results have important implications for stakeholders in the agricultural sector, highlighting the need for sustainable land use policies and climate change adaptation measures to ensure the country's food security.

Suggested Citation

  • Dahir Abdi Ali & Aisha Mohamed Dahir & Sagal Mohamed Yusuf, 2023. "Autoregressive Distributed Lag Modeling of Climate and Non-climatic Determinants Affecting Cereal Production: Empirical Evidence from Somalia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(5), pages 577-584, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2023-05-61
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/download/14553/7518
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/view/14553
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Climate Factors; Non-climatic Factors; Autoregressive Distributed Lag; Somalia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • Q56 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environment and Development; Environment and Trade; Sustainability; Environmental Accounts and Accounting; Environmental Equity; Population Growth

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2023-05-61. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ilhan Ozturk (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.econjournals.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.