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The Effect of Crude Oil Prices on Economic Growth in South East Sulawesi, Indonesia: An Application of Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model

Author

Listed:
  • La Ode Saidi

    (Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Maths and Science, Universitas Halu Oleo, Kampus Bumi Tridhamma Anduonohu 93232, Kendari, Indonesia,)

  • Pasrun Adam

    (Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Maths and Science, Universitas Halu Oleo, Kampus Bumi Tridhamma Anduonohu 93232, Kendari, Indonesia,)

  • Manat Rahim

    (Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Halu Oleo, Kampus Bumi Tridhamma Anduonohu 93232 Kendari, Indonesia.)

  • Rosnawintang Rosnawintang

    (Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Halu Oleo, Kampus Bumi Tridhamma Anduonohu 93232 Kendari, Indonesia.)

Abstract

This research aims to examine the effect of crude oil prices on economic growth in South East Sulawesi, Indonesia. Data on crude oil prices and economic growth are annual time series data stretching from 1987 to 2016. The results of co-integration tests show that there is no long-term relationship between crude oil prices and economic growth. However, the estimation of the ARDL(5.0) model shows that in the short term, there is the influence of crude oil prices toward economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • La Ode Saidi & Pasrun Adam & Manat Rahim & Rosnawintang Rosnawintang, 2019. "The Effect of Crude Oil Prices on Economic Growth in South East Sulawesi, Indonesia: An Application of Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(2), pages 194-198.
  • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2019-02-22
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. La Ode Saidi & Hasan Aedy & Fajar Saranani & Rosnawintang Rosnawintang & Pasrun Adam & La Ode Arsad Sani, 2020. "Crude Oil Price and Exchange Rate: An Analysis of the Asymmetric Effect and Volatility Using the Non Linear Autoregressive Distributed Lag and General Autoregressive Conditional Heterochedasticity in ," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(1), pages 104-108.
    2. Sha, Zhiping, 2022. "Total natural resources, oil prices, and sustainable economic performance: Evidence from global data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    3. Muntasir Murshed & Haider Mahmood & Tarek Tawfik Yousef Alkhateeb & Mohga Bassim, 2020. "The Impacts of Energy Consumption, Energy Prices and Energy Import-Dependency on Gross and Sectoral Value-Added in Sri Lanka," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-22, December.
    4. Zainuddin Saenong & Abd Azis Muthalib & Pasrun Adam & Wali Aya Rumbia & Heppi Millia & La Ode Saidi, 2020. "Symmetric and Asymmetric Effect of Crude Oil Prices and Exchange Rate on Bond Yields in Indonesia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(2), pages 95-100.
    5. Bulat Mukhamediyev & Zhansaya Temerbulatova, 2019. "The Impact of Oil Prices on the Global Competitiveness of National Economies," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(6), pages 45-50.
    6. Rosnawintang Rosnawintang & Tajuddin Tajuddin & Pasrun Adam & Yuwanda Purnamasari Pasrun & La Ode Saidi, 2021. "Effects of Crude Oil Prices Volatility, the Internet and Inflation on Economic Growth in ASEAN-5 Countries: A Panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(1), pages 15-21.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Crude oil price; economic growth; ARDL bound co-integration test; ARDL model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

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