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Trading, Communication and the Response of Asset Prices to News

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  • Dow, James
  • Gorton, Gary

Abstract

The dynamic behavior of security prices is studied in a setting where two agents trade strategically and learn over time from market prices. The model introduces an information structure that is intended to capture the notion that information is difficult to interpret. Strategic interaction and the complexity of the information result in a protracted price response. Equilibrium price paths of the model may display reversals in which the two traders rationally revise their beliefs, first in one direction and then in the opposite direction, even though no new information has entered the system. Copyright 1993 by Royal Economic Society.

Suggested Citation

  • Dow, James & Gorton, Gary, 1993. "Trading, Communication and the Response of Asset Prices to News," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 103(418), pages 639-646, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecj:econjl:v:103:y:1993:i:418:p:639-46
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. John A. Carlson & Carol L. Osler, 1996. "Rational speculators and exchange rate volatility," Staff Reports 13, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    2. Carmi, Nava & Ronen, Boaz, 1996. "An empirical application of the information-structures model: The postal authority case," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 92(3), pages 615-627, August.
    3. Börgers, Tilman & Hernando-Veciana, Angel & Krähmer, Daniel, 2013. "When are signals complements or substitutes?," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 148(1), pages 165-195.
    4. Ivan Indriawan & Feng Jiao & Yiuman Tse, 2019. "The impact of the US stock market opening on price discovery of government bond futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(7), pages 779-802, July.
    5. Vu Le Tran & Guillaume Coqueret, 2023. "ESG news spillovers across the value chain," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 52(4), pages 677-710, December.
    6. Yassin Denis Bouzzine & Rainer Lueg, 2021. "The Shareholder Value Effect of System Overloads: An Analysis of Investor Responses to the 2003 Blackout in the US," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(6), pages 538-543.
    7. Giampiero M. Gallo, 2001. "Modelling the Impact of Overnight Surprises on Intra‐daily Volatility," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(4), pages 567-580, December.
    8. Vu Le Tran & Guillaume Coqueret, 2023. "ESG news spillovers across the value chain," Post-Print hal-04325746, HAL.
    9. Giampiero M. Gallo & Yongmiao Hong & Tae-Why Lee, 2001. "Modelling the Impact of Overnight Surprises on Intra-daily Stock Returns," Econometrics Working Papers Archive wp2001_03, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti".
    10. Carlson, John A. & Osler, C. L., 2000. "Rational speculators and exchange rate volatility1," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 231-253, February.
    11. Park, Jin Suk & Newaz, Mohammad Khaleq, 2021. "Liquidity and short-run predictability: Evidence from international stock markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    12. Ramiah, Vikash & Xu, Xiaoming & Moosa, Imad A., 2015. "Neoclassical finance, behavioral finance and noise traders: A review and assessment of the literature," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 89-100.
    13. Maloney, Michael T. & Mulherin, J. Harold, 2003. "The complexity of price discovery in an efficient market: the stock market reaction to the Challenger crash," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 453-479, September.
    14. Newhard, Joseph Michael, 2014. "The stock market speaks: How Dr. Alchian learned to build the bomb," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 116-132.
    15. Chan, Kalok & Chockalingam, Mark & Lai, Kent W. L., 2000. "Overnight information and intraday trading behavior: evidence from NYSE cross-listed stocks and their local market information," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 10(3-4), pages 495-509, December.
    16. Osler, C. L., 1998. "Short-term speculators and the puzzling behaviour of exchange rates," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(1), pages 37-57, June.

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