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How to obtain a better result of updating the I-O table from the MTT method

Author

Listed:
  • Jeerawadee Pumjaroen

    (Rajamangala University of Technology Thanyaburi)

  • Tipat Sottiwan

    (Rajamangala University of Technology Thanyaburi)

Abstract

Under the assumption of changes in economic structure, Matrix Transformation Technique (MTT) combines matrix transformation and forecasting techniques to update input-output (I–O) tables solving I-O timeliness. This research aims to improve the result of MTT by forecasting only the significant elements instead of forecasting all elements of a transformed-intersection matrix as the original propose. The forecasted elements are considered from their statistically significant trend and their correlation with the technical coefficient. The empirical evidence from updating the Thailand I-O table shows that the performance of MTT with forecasting only significant elements outperforms the result of MTT with forecasting all elements and the well-known method as the RAS approach. The assessment is considered from the updating results of the I-O table, technical coefficient, and multiplier matrices by common indices: Standardized Total Percentage Error (STPE), Theil's U (U), Standardized Weighted Absolute Difference (SWAD), and also Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE).

Suggested Citation

  • Jeerawadee Pumjaroen & Tipat Sottiwan, 2021. "How to obtain a better result of updating the I-O table from the MTT method," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 41(2), pages 1697-1710.
  • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-21-00161
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Input-Output table series; MTT; Updating; Forecasting; Matrix transformation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D5 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium
    • C6 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling

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