IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ebl/ecbull/eb-20-00350.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Population Ageing and FDI Inflows in Japan: ARDL Approach to Cointegration Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Rajarshi Mitra

    (Tokyo International University, Japan)

  • Md. Thasinul Abedin

    (University of Chittagong, Bangladesh)

Abstract

The socio-economic effects of population ageing in industrialized nations have attracted the attention of academicians and policymakers worldwide. Although country-case studies on the determinants of FDI inflows are extensive, academic literature has neglected an empirical investigation of the direct effects of population ageing on FDI inflows in Japan. This is a unique study that applies Pesaran et. al.`s (2001) bounds testing approach to cointegration analysis and models the short-run and long-run effects of (a) an increase in the dependency ratio for the old (as a percentage of working age population), and (b) an increase in the number of individuals aged 65 and above (as a percentage of total population) on the net FDI inflows in Japan (as a percentage of GDP). In both bivariate and multivariate models, the short-run effects are statistically insignificant, but the long-run effects are significantly positive. Additionally, in both bivariate and multivariate analysis, the model with the number of individuals aged 65 and above (as a percentage of total population) indicates a faster speed of adjustment toward long-run equilibrium. We conclude that, while population ageing may have an insignificant effect on net FDI inflows in Japan (as a percentage of GDP) in the short-run, a significantly positive relationship between the two variables exists in the long-run.

Suggested Citation

  • Rajarshi Mitra & Md. Thasinul Abedin, 2020. "Population Ageing and FDI Inflows in Japan: ARDL Approach to Cointegration Analysis," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(2), pages 1814-1825.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-20-00350
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.accessecon.com/Pubs/EB/2020/Volume40/EB-20-V40-I2-P157.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Narciso, Alexandre, 2010. "The impact of population ageing on international capital flows," MPRA Paper 26457, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Raymond Vernon, 1966. "International Investment and International Trade in the Product Cycle," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 80(2), pages 190-207.
    3. Paresh Kumar Narayan, 2005. "The saving and investment nexus for China: evidence from cointegration tests," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(17), pages 1979-1990.
    4. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    5. Magnier-Watanabe, Rémy & Lemaire, Jean-Paul, 2018. "Inbound foreign direct investment in Japan: A typology," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 431-442.
    6. Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2004. "Do public investments crowd out private investments? Fresh evidence from Fiji," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 26(6), pages 747-753, September.
    7. Tomohara, Akinori, 2017. "Does immigration crowd out foreign direct investment inflows? Tradeoff between contemporaneous FDI-immigration substitution and ethnic network externalities," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 40-47.
    8. Yukinobu Kitamura & Taisuke Uchino, 2010. "The Effect of Academic Background on Household Portfolio Selection: Evidence from Japanese Repeated Cross Section Data," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd10-149, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    9. Iwaisako, Tokuo & 祝迫, 得夫 & Ono, Arito & Saito, Amane & Tokuda, Hidenobu, 2016. "Impact of population aging on household savings and portfolio choice in Japan," HIT-REFINED Working Paper Series 61, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Samir Abdelhafidh, 2020. "Does the external debt composition matter for economic growth in Tunisia?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(4), pages 2802-2818.
    2. Lu, Shuai & Chen, Ning & Zhou, Wei & Li, Shouwei, 2024. "Impact of the belt and road initiative on trade status and FDI attraction: A local and global network perspective," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 1468-1495.
    3. Jeunghan Lee & Keuntae Cho, 2023. "Effects of Science, Technology, and Innovation Official Development Assistance on Foreign Direct Investment in Developing Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(16), pages 1-13, August.
    4. Yingzhu Yang & Rong Zheng & Lexiang Zhao, 2021. "Population Aging, Health Investment and Economic Growth: Based on a Cross-Country Panel Data Analysis," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(4), pages 1-16, February.
    5. Rajarshi Mitra & Md. Thasinul Abedin & Kanon Kumar Sen, 2022. "Population Aging and FDI inflows: A multi-country cointegration analysis," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 42(3), pages 1631-1644.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Paresh Kumar Narayan & Seema Narayan, 2008. "Does Military Expenditure Determine Fiji'S Exploding Debt Levels?," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(1), pages 77-87.
    2. Seema Narayan & Paresh Kumar Narayan, 2010. "Estimating Import And Export Demand Elasticities For Mauritius And South Africa," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 49(3), pages 241-252, September.
    3. Adegboye, Abiodun Adewale & Alimi, R. Santos, 2017. "Public – Private Investment Nexus in Developing Economies: Does Financial Sector Development Matter for Nigeria?," MPRA Paper 80908, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Ranjan Kumar Mohanty, 2016. "Does Fiscal Deficit Crowd Out Private Corporate Sector Investment In India?," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 64(05), pages 1201-1224, November.
    5. Chi, Junwook & Baek, Jungho, 2016. "Modeling the Transport Infrastructure-Growth Nexus in the United States," Journal of the Transportation Research Forum, Transportation Research Forum, vol. 55(3), December.
    6. Chandran, V.G.R. & Sharma, Susan & Madhavan, Karunagaran, 2010. "Electricity consumption-growth nexus: The case of Malaysia," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 606-612, January.
    7. Karasoy, Alper, 2022. "Is innovative technology a solution to Japan's long-run energy insecurity? Dynamic evidence from the linear and nonlinear methods," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    8. Bloch, Harry & Rafiq, Shuddhasattwa & Salim, Ruhul, 2015. "Economic growth with coal, oil and renewable energy consumption in China: Prospects for fuel substitution," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 104-115.
    9. Noraida, A.W. & Abdul-Rahim, A.S. & Othman, Mohd, 2017. "The Impact of Sustainable Forest Management (SFM) Practices on Primary Timber-Based Production in Peninsular Malaysia," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 51(2), pages 143-154.
    10. Georgios Bertsatos & Plutarchos Sakellaris & Mike G. Tsionas, 2022. "Extensions of the Pesaran, Shin and Smith (2001) bounds testing procedure," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(2), pages 605-634, February.
    11. Muhammad Shafiullah & Ravinthirakumaran Navaratnam, 2016. "Do Bangladesh and Sri Lanka Enjoy Export-Led Growth? A Comparison of Two Small South Asian Economies," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 17(1), pages 114-132, March.
    12. Ziramba, Emmanuel, 2008. "The demand for residential electricity in South Africa," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(9), pages 3460-3466, September.
    13. Jikun Jiang & Shenglai Zhu & Weihao Wang, 2022. "Carbon Emissions, Economic Growth, Urbanization, and Foreign Trade in China: Empirical Evidence from ARDL Models," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-15, August.
    14. Andrés, Antonio R. & Halicioglu, Ferda, 2010. "Determinants of suicides in Denmark: Evidence from time series data," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 98(2-3), pages 263-269, December.
    15. Nikeel Kumar & Ronald Ravinesh Kumar & Radika Kumar & Peter Josef Stauvermann, 2020. "Is the tourism–growth relationship asymmetric in the Cook Islands? Evidence from NARDL cointegration and causality tests," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(4), pages 658-681, June.
    16. T.K. Jayaraman & Chee-Keong Choong & Pravinesh Chand, 2016. "Do Foreign Aid And Remittance Inflows Hurt Competitiveness Of Exports Of Pacific Island Countries? An Empirical Study Of Fiji," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 41(2), pages 111-125, June.
    17. Ulrich Witt & Christian Gross, 2020. "The rise of the “service economy” in the second half of the twentieth century and its energetic contingencies," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 30(2), pages 231-246, April.
    18. Hande Aksöz Yılmaz, 2020. "The Impact of Foreign Trade on Immigration from Turkey to Germany: ARDL Bounds Test Approach," Journal of Economy Culture and Society, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 62(62), pages 123-143, December.
    19. Kumar, Nikeel Nishkar & Patel, Arvind, 2023. "Nonlinear effect of air travel tourism demand on economic growth in Fiji," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    20. Sinha, Avik & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2018. "Estimation of Environmental Kuznets Curve for CO2 emission: Role of renewable energy generation in India," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 703-711.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    FDI; Demography; Cointegration; Bounds Testing.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-20-00350. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: John P. Conley (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.