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Protect and survive? Did capital controls help shield emerging markets from the crisis?

Author

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  • Makram El-Shagi

    (Halle Institute for Economic Research)

Abstract

Using a new dataset on capital market regulation, we analyze whether capital controls helped protect emerging markets from the real economic consequences of the 2009 financial and economic crisis. The impact of the crisis is measured by the 2009 forecast error of a panel state space model, which analyzes the business cycle dynamics of 63 middle-income countries. We find that neither capital controls in general nor controls that were specifically targeted to derivatives (that played a crucial role during the crisis) helped shield economies. However, banking regulation that limits the exposure of banks to global risks has been highly successful.

Suggested Citation

  • Makram El-Shagi, 2012. "Protect and survive? Did capital controls help shield emerging markets from the crisis?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(1), pages 1-6.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-11-00745
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ranciere, Romain & Tornell, Aaron & Westermann, Frank, 2006. "Decomposing the effects of financial liberalization: Crises vs. growth," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(12), pages 3331-3348, December.
    2. M Ayhan Kose & Eswar Prasad & Kenneth Rogoff & Shang-Jin Wei, 2009. "Financial Globalization: A Reappraisal," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 56(1), pages 8-62, April.
    3. El-Shagi Makram, 2012. "The Distorting Impact of Capital Controls," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 13(1), pages 41-55, February.
    4. M Ayhan Kose & Eswar Prasad & Kenneth Rogoff & Shang-Jin Wei, 2009. "Financial Globalization: A Reappraisal," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 56(1), pages 8-62, April.
    5. Sebastian Edwards, 1999. "Crisis Prevention: Lessons from Mexico and East Asia," NBER Working Papers 7233, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Glick, Reuven & Hutchison, Michael, 2005. "Capital controls and exchange rate instability in developing economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 387-412, April.
    7. Makram El-Shagi, 2007. "Die Einführung von Kapitalverkehrskontrollen mit Korruptionsabsichten," List Forum Chapter, in: List Gesellschaft e.V. (ed.), List Forum Band 33, edition 1, volume 4, chapter 16, pages 330-356, List Gesellschaft e.V..
    8. Dennis P. Quinn & A. Maria Toyoda, 2008. "Does Capital Account Liberalization Lead to Growth?," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 21(3), pages 1403-1449, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Axel Dreher, 2013. "Joseph P. Joyce. 2013. The IMF and global financial crises. Phoenix rising? (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press)," The Review of International Organizations, Springer, vol. 8(3), pages 415-418, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Capital controls; financial crisis; emerging markets;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance

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