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Modeling the volatility of Mediterranean stock markets: a regime-switching approach

Author

Listed:
  • Walid Chkili

    (International Finance Group, El Manar University, Tunisia)

  • Duc Khuong Nguyen

    (ISC Paris School of Management, France)

Abstract

In this paper we use the Markov regime-switching model to investigate the volatility behavior of six Mediterranean stock markets (France, Spain, Greece, Egypt, Tunisia, and Turkey) over the turbulent period 1995-2010. Our results show strong evidence of regime shifts in each of these markets. We also find that the Mediterranean developed markets are less affected by international market events such as Asian and Russian financial crisis than emerging markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Walid Chkili & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2011. "Modeling the volatility of Mediterranean stock markets: a regime-switching approach," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(2), pages 1105-1113.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-10-00742
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    File URL: http://www.accessecon.com/Pubs/EB/2011/Volume31/EB-11-V31-I2-P103.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lagoarde-Segot, Thomas & Lucey, Brian M., 2007. "International portfolio diversification: Is there a role for the Middle East and North Africa?," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 17(5), pages 401-416, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Chkili, Walid & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2014. "Exchange rate movements and stock market returns in a regime-switching environment: Evidence for BRICS countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 46-56.
    2. Salisu, Afees A., 2019. "United we stand, divided we fall: A PANICCA test evidence for stock exchanges in OECD," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 343-347.
    3. Cristi SPULBAR & Mihai NITOI & Cristian STANCIU, 2012. "Identifying The Industry Business Cycle Using The Markov Switching Approach In Central And Eastern Europe," Management and Marketing Journal, University of Craiova, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 0(2), pages 293-300, November.
    4. Lateef O. Akanni & Kazeem Isah, 2018. "Exchange Rate Movements on Sectoral Stock Prices of Nigerian Firms: Is there Evidence of Asymmetry?," Working Papers 046, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
    5. Zobia Israr Ahmed & Khalid Mustafa, 2019. "Regime-Dependent Effects on Stock Market Return Dynamics: Evidence from SAARC Countries," Asian Development Policy Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 7(2), pages 111-132, June.
    6. Ercan Özen & Özdemir Letife & Simon Grima & Frank Bezzina, 2014. "Investigating Causality Effects in Return Volatility among Five Major Futures Markets in European Countries with a Mediterranean Connection," Journal of Financial Management, Markets and Institutions, Società editrice il Mulino, issue 2, pages 207-220, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Stock return volatility; Markov regime-switching model; Mediterranean stock markets;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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