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Asymmetric adjustment of retail gasoline prices in turkey to world crude oil price changes: the role of taxes

Author

Listed:
  • C. emre Alper

    (Bogazici University)

  • Orhan Torul

    (Bogazici University)

Abstract

We empirically investigate the impact of shocks to world crude oil prices on retail gasoline prices in Turkey during the 1991-2007 period. Using a Structural-VAR methodology and monthly frequency data, we report that Turkish retail gasoline prices respond significantly to increasing world crude oil prices, but not to decreases. During the estimation period, 70 to 80% of the retail gasoline price was attributable to taxes which were subject to frequent changes by the council of ministers. Although historical data on gasoline taxes is not publicly available, based on the importance of taxes on gasoline price formation in Turkey, we argue that the source of asymmetry is mainly attributable to government price setting policy choice for gasoline. Based on the observed asymmetry from empirical analysis, we further argue that rather than smoothing the impact of volatility in world crude oil prices on Turkish retail gasoline prices, the Turkish fiscal authorities attempted to maximize tax revenue from gasoline.

Suggested Citation

  • C. emre Alper & Orhan Torul, 2009. "Asymmetric adjustment of retail gasoline prices in turkey to world crude oil price changes: the role of taxes," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 29(2), pages 775-787.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-09-00113
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    File URL: http://www.accessecon.com/Pubs/EB/2009/Volume29/EB-09-V29-I2-P28.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Taner SEKMEN & Seher Gülşah TOPUZ, 2021. "Asymmetric Oil Price and Exchange Rate Pass-Through in the Turkish Oil-Gasoline Markets," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 74-93, June.
    2. Özgür Bor & Mustafa Ýsmihan, 2013. "Gasoline Pricing, Taxation and Asymmetry: The Case of Turkey," Working Papers 2013/7, Turkish Economic Association.
    3. Javid Suleymanli & Ilkin Mammadov & Fariz Ahmadov & Tabriz Aliyev, 2022. "Investigation of the Relationship Between Fuel Prices and Fuel Consumption in Turkey," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(6), pages 473-480, November.
    4. Torul Orhan & Alper C. Emre, 2010. "Asymmetric Effects of Oil Prices on the Manufacturing Sector in Turkey," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 6(1), pages 90-105, July.
    5. Pelin ÖGE GÜNEY, 2013. "The Effects of Oil Prices Changes on Output Growth and Inflation: Evidence from Turkey," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 5(11), pages 730-739.
    6. Aboura, Sofiane & Chevallier, Julien, 2017. "Oil vs. gasoline: The dark side of volatility and taxation," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PB), pages 976-989.
    7. Utku Özmen, Mustafa & Akçelik, Fatih, 2017. "Asymmetric exchange rate and oil price pass-through in motor fuel market: A microeconometric approach," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 64-75.
    8. Mehmet Efe Biresselioglu & Muhittin Hakan Demir & Evrim Ozyorulmaz, 2014. "The Rationale behind Turkey's High Gasoline Prices," Energy & Environment, , vol. 25(8), pages 1359-1379, December.
    9. Jeyhun I. Mikayilov & Shahriyar Mukhtarov & Hasan Dinçer & Serhat Yüksel & Rıdvan Aydın, 2020. "Elasticity Analysis of Fossil Energy Sources for Sustainable Economies: A Case of Gasoline Consumption in Turkey," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-15, February.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Retail gasoline prices; Rockets and feathers hypothesis; Emerging markets; Fiscal policy; SVAR; Retail diesel oil prices;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q4 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance

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