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Industry and Foreign Trade in India, China and OECD countries: an analysis of causality, 1960-2002

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  • Guisan, M.C.
  • Exposito, P.

Abstract

We analyse causality relationships between industry and foreign trade in three major areas of the world economy: India, China and OECD countries for the period 1960-2002, and found that the effect of imports is usually positive and significant to favour industrial and non-industrial development, from a mixed approach to economic growth which has into account demand and supply sides. We use several approaches to causality, including Granger´s bivariate and trivariate tests and analysis of contemporaneous relationships.

Suggested Citation

  • Guisan, M.C. & Exposito, P., 2005. "Industry and Foreign Trade in India, China and OECD countries: an analysis of causality, 1960-2002," International Journal of Applied Econometrics and Quantitative Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 2(3), pages 5-16.
    • Handle: RePEc:eaa:ijaeqs:v:2:y2005:i:3_6
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Klaus Wälde & Christina Wood, 2004. "The empirics of trade and growth: where are the policy recommendations?," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 1(2), pages 275-292, January.
    2. Youcai Liang, 2000. "China'S Econometric Model For Project Pair," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Lawrence R Klein & Shinichi Ichimura (ed.), Econometric Modeling Of China, chapter 5, pages 201-248, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
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    Cited by:

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Foreign Trade; Causality; India; China; OECD;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade
    • O5 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies
    • O51 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - U.S.; Canada
    • O52 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Europe
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East
    • O57 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Comparative Studies of Countries

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