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Leading and Coincident Indexes for The Financial Services Industry

Author

Listed:
  • Lorene Hiris

    (Long Island University and Economic Cycle Research Institute)

Abstract

The general leading indicator approach, commonly applied to the national economy, can also be used to analyze major sectors of the economy. Given the considerable importance of the financial services industry, also known as FIRE (Finance, Insurnace and Real Estate), a system of leading and coincident indexes for this industry in the United States has been developed. Five series have been identified as consistently providing advance warning of cyclical turning points in the financial services industry and are presented as leading indicators of the industry' growth rate chronology. The resulting Leading Index of Financial Services leads turning points in the financial services reference chronology.

Suggested Citation

  • Lorene Hiris, 2001. "Leading and Coincident Indexes for The Financial Services Industry," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, vol. 36(1), pages 125-135, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:dse:indecr:v:36:y:2001:i:1:p:125-135
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C43 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Index Numbers and Aggregation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • L89 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Other

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