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Measuring Core Inflation in Bangladesh: An Unobserved Components Approach

Author

Listed:
  • BASHAR, OMAR H.M.N.

    (Deakin University, Australia)

Abstract

This paper attempts to construct a core inflation measure for Bangladesh using an Unobserved Components modelling approach. One advantage of the Unobserved Components approach is that this method satisfies some essential statistical criteria for a core inflation measure, which are not guaranteed to be met in other traditional exclusionbased methods. The estimated core inflation series performs well in tracking headline inflation and picking the major turning points in actual inflation. It is also found that there is a negative covariance between the shocks to the core inflation and cyclical inflation, indicating that there may be positive correlation between demand and supply shocks in Bangladesh.

Suggested Citation

  • Bashar, Omar H.M.N., 2011. "Measuring Core Inflation in Bangladesh: An Unobserved Components Approach," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, vol. 46(1), pages 109-129.
    • Handle: RePEc:dse:indecr:0033
    as

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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