Author
Listed:
- Casimir Lorenz
- Hanna Brauers
- Clemens Gerbaulet
- Christian von Hirschhausen
- Claudia Kemfert
- Mario Kendziorski
- Pao-Yu Oei
Abstract
The nuclear power industry is faced with profound challenges - not only in Germany, but throughout Europe as well. New nuclear power plants are very expensive to build and even at high carbon prices, nuclear power is not competitive. Nevertheless, the EU reference scenario assumes that within the next three decades, new nuclear power plants will be built with a total capacity of at least 50 gigawatts, and licenses will be renewed for a further 86 gigawatts. Model calculations show that nuclear power would disappear from Europe’s power generation mix by 2050 were the decision based on economic factors and cost considerations alone. In Western Europe, the UK and France are still determined to implement their plans to build new nuclear power plants. But the model calculations for these two countries indicate that complete electricity sector decarbonization by 2050 would also be possible without nuclear power. Die Atomwirtschaft steht vor tiefgreifenden Veränderungen, nicht nur in Deutschland, sondern in ganz Europa. Der Bau neuer Atomkraftwerke ist mit sehr hohen Kosten verbunden, selbst bei hohen CO2-Preisen kann Atomkraft nicht wettbewerbsfähig werden. Trotzdem geht das EU-Referenzszenario davon aus, dass in den kommenden drei Jahrzehnten in Europa neue Atomkraftwerke mit einer Gesamtleistung von über 50 Gigawatt gebaut und Laufzeitverlängerungen im Umfang von weiteren 86 Gigawatt durchgeführt werden. Modellrechnungen zeigen jedoch, dass Atomkraft bis 2050 aus dem europäischen Strommix verschwinden würde, ginge es nur nach ökonomischen Kostenerwägungen. In Westeuropa halten insbesondere das Vereinigte Königreich und Frankreich noch ernsthaft an Plänen zum Bau neuer Atomkraftwerke fest. Modellrechnungen für diese beiden Länder zeigen allerdings, dass eine vollständige Dekarbonisierung des Stromsektors bis zum Jahr 2050 ohne Atomkraft möglich wäre.
Suggested Citation
Casimir Lorenz & Hanna Brauers & Clemens Gerbaulet & Christian von Hirschhausen & Claudia Kemfert & Mario Kendziorski & Pao-Yu Oei, 2016.
"Atomkraft ist nicht wettbewerbsfähig: auch im Vereinigten Königreich und Frankreich ist Klimaschutz ohne Atomkraft möglich,"
DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 83(44), pages 1047-1054.
Handle:
RePEc:diw:diwwob:83-44-1
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