IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/diw/diwwob/78-28-1.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Verbraucherumfragen für Konsumprognosen besser nutzen

Author

Listed:
  • Christian Dreger
  • Konstantin A. Kholodilin

Abstract

Mehr als die Hälfte des Bruttoinlandsprodukts im Euroraum wird für den privaten Verbrauch verwendet. Daher kommt der Genauigkeit von Konsumprognosen eine besondere Bedeutung zu. Da der Konsum maßgeblich von den Stimmungen der Akteure beeinflusst wird, weist die Europäische Kommission monatlich das Konsumentenvertrauen aus. Allerdings ist die Prognosequalität dieses Indikators leider nur gering. Im Folgenden wird daher ein Frühindikator für die Konsumausgaben der privaten Haushalte vorgestellt, der die dem Konsumentenvertrauen zugrunde liegenden Informationen besser nutzt. Damit kann die Genauigkeit der Prognose für den privaten Konsum im Euroraum erheblich gesteigert werden.

Suggested Citation

  • Christian Dreger & Konstantin A. Kholodilin, 2011. "Verbraucherumfragen für Konsumprognosen besser nutzen," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 78(28), pages 3-8.
    • Handle: RePEc:diw:diwwob:78-28-1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.diw.de/documents/publikationen/73/diw_01.c.376217.de/11-28-1.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Consumer confidence; nowcasting; mixed frequency data;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:diw:diwwob:78-28-1. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Bibliothek (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/diwbede.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.