Author
Listed:
- Christian Dreger
- Hans-Eggert Reimers
Abstract
This paper explores the long-term relationship between public and private investment in the euro area. A stock-flow approach is proposed to control for the integration properties of the variables. Panel econometric techniques including international spillovers are employed. Private and public capital stocks are cointegrated. However, the residuals from the stock equilibrium are not (trend) stationary, but rather include a random walk component. Nonetheless, they can be exploited to improve the model for private investment flows. In fact, standard models that include private investment flows, GDP, and the real interest rate are only valid if the deviations from the stock equilibrium are considered. The corresponding error correction equation is well behaved, as deviations from the stock relationship are crucial for explaining the changes in private investment. Thus, the lack of public investment may have been restricting private investment and GDP growth in the euro area. Diese Arbeit untersucht die langfristige Beziehung zwischen öffentlichen und privaten Investitionen in der Eurozone im Rahmen eines Strom-Bestands-Modells. Mit diesem Ansatz lassen sich die unterschiedlichen Integrationseigenschaften der beteiligten Variablen erfassen. Die Ergebnisse basieren auf panelökonometrischen Verfahren, die die Interdependenzen zwischen den Ländern mit berücksichtigen. Private und staatliche Kapitalstöcke stehen in einem langfristigen Zusammenhang, sind also kointegriert. Allerdings sind die Abweichungen vom Bestandsgleichgewicht nicht (trend)stationär, sondern enthalten noch eine Einheitswurzel. Gleichwohl können sie genutzt werden, um das Erklärungsmodell für die privaten Investitionen zu verbessern. Standardansätze des Investitionsverhaltens, die als Erklärungsgrößen das Bruttoinlandsprodukt und den Realzinssatz enthalten, lassen sich verbessern, wenn zusätzlich die Abweichungen vom Bestandsgleichgewicht berücksichtigt werden. Insgesamt dürfte die schwache staatliche Investitionstätigkeit die privaten Investitionen und das wirtschaftliche Wachstum in der Eurozone restringiert haben.
Suggested Citation
Christian Dreger & Hans-Eggert Reimers, 2015.
"Die Auswirkungen staatlicher Investitionen auf private Investitionen in der Eurozone,"
Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 84(4), pages 145-156.
Handle:
RePEc:diw:diwvjh:84-4-8
DOI: 10.3790/vjh.84.4.145
Download full text from publisher
More about this item
Keywords
Public and private investment;
capital stocks;
fiscal austerity;
All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
- E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
- E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
Statistics
Access and download statistics
Corrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:diw:diwvjh:84-4-8. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Bibliothek (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/diwbede.html .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through
the various RePEc services.