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Seasonality of Deaths in the U.S. by Age and Cause

Author

Listed:
  • Craig A. Feinstein

    (Social Security Administration)

Abstract

In this paper, we analyze seasonality of deaths by age and cause in the U.S. using public use files for the years 1994 to 1998 by the methods of regression and a variation of Census Method II. We answer the following questions: For each age cohort, how much does each cause of death contribute to seasonality of deaths? What is the reason for the variation in seasonality of deaths with respect to age? We also analyze death records of Social Security Administration over a longer time period to examine how seasonality of deaths has changed since the mid-1970’s. We found that in general, the degree of seasonality in deaths has decreased over time for younger cohorts and has increased over time for older cohorts.

Suggested Citation

  • Craig A. Feinstein, 2002. "Seasonality of Deaths in the U.S. by Age and Cause," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 6(17), pages 471-488.
    • Handle: RePEc:dem:demres:v:6:y:2002:i:17
    DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2002.6.17
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    Cited by:

    1. Fabon Dzogang & Thomas Lansdall-Welfare & FindMyPast Newspaper Team & Nello Cristianini, 2016. "Discovering Periodic Patterns in Historical News," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(11), pages 1-18, November.
    2. Tina Ho & Andrew Noymer, 2017. "Summertime, and the livin’ is easy: Winter and summer pseudoseasonal life expectancy in the United States," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 37(45), pages 1445-1476.
    3. Li, Han & Chen, Hua, 2024. "Hierarchical mortality forecasting with EVT tails: An application to solvency capital requirement," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 549-563.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    mortality; seasonality;

    JEL classification:

    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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