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Period Fertility in Russia since 1930

Author

Listed:
  • Sergei Scherbov

    (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA))

  • Harrie van Vianen

    (Österreichische Akademie der Wissenschaften)

Abstract

In this paper we present a detailed demographic analysis of the change of period fertility that occurred since 1930, based on individual retrospective data, collected in the most recent (five percent) microcensus of the Russian Federation from 1994. We assess the influence of external events on the level and distribution of (period) fertility. For the years prior to 1950 our information on age specific fertility is not complete, but using fertility models acceptable estimates can be constructed. The Coale-Trussell model is particularly suited for producing detailed and robust estimates of interpretable parameters of the fertility distribution. Although none of the observed crises in Russia succeeded in exerting a decisive influence on the course of the fertility transition, political events often had profound short-term effects.

Suggested Citation

  • Sergei Scherbov & Harrie van Vianen, 2002. "Period Fertility in Russia since 1930," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 6(16), pages 455-470.
    • Handle: RePEc:dem:demres:v:6:y:2002:i:16
    DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2002.6.16
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    1. repec:cai:popine:popu_p1994_49n4-5_0933 is not listed on IDEAS
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Rueda, Cristina & Rodríguez, Pilar, 2010. "State space models for estimating and forecasting fertility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 712-724, October.
    2. Cristina Rueda-Sabater & Pedro Alvarez-Esteban, 2008. "The analysis of age-specific fertility patterns via logistic models," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(9), pages 1053-1070.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    fertility; historical demography; Russia; fertility models; period fertility;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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