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Life expectancy in two Caucasian countries. How much due to overestimated population?

Author

Listed:
  • Ruben Yeganyan

    (Ministry of Finance and Economy, Armenia)

  • Irina Badurashvili

    (Georgian Centre of Population Research (GCPR))

  • Evgeny M. Andreev

    (New Economic School)

  • France Meslé

    (Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED))

  • Vladimir Shkolnikov

    (Max-Planck-Institut für Demografische Forschung)

  • Jacques Vallin

    (Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED))

Abstract

This study is a first attempt to produce reliable estimates of mortality in Georgia and Armenia in the 1990s. Official statistics registered a decrease in mortality over the 1990s in spite of local wars, mass flows of refugees, and severe economic hardships faced by populations. According to official statistics, in 1999-2000 population size was about 5.4 millions in Georgia and about 3.8 millions in Armenia. Non-official estimates based on migration surveys are much lower: 4.0-4.1 millions and 3.0 millions, respectively. This huge difference is mostly due to unregistered out-migration. In addition to corrections in population, corrections are made for under-registration of deaths. Hospital statistics is used for infant deaths and the Coale-Demeny model life tables are used for ages above 70. In Georgia, the introduction of payment for the declaration of vital events resulted in a greater under-registration of deaths than in Armenia. Modified populations, mortality and life expectancy values are produced for the 1990s. In 1999 life expectancy was 68.6 and 75.6 for males and females in Georgia and 68.7 and 75.4 for males and females in Armenia. These figures are lower than the official estimates by 5.2 and 5.6 years for males and females in Georgia and by 3.8 and 1.7 years for males and females in Armenia. After corrections Caucasian male life expectancy is higher than in other post-Soviet countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Ruben Yeganyan & Irina Badurashvili & Evgeny M. Andreev & France Meslé & Vladimir Shkolnikov & Jacques Vallin, 2001. "Life expectancy in two Caucasian countries. How much due to overestimated population?," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 5(7), pages 217-244.
    • Handle: RePEc:dem:demres:v:5:y:2001:i:7
    DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2001.5.7
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Gerry Redmond & Nadezhda Aleshina & UNICEF Innocenti Research Centre. MONEE project, 2003. "How High is Infant Mortality in Central and Eastern Europe and the CIS?," Papers inwopa03/26, Innocenti Working Papers.
    2. Géraldine Duthé & Irina Badurashvili & Karine Kuyumjyan & France Meslé & Jacques Vallin, 2010. "Mortality in the Caucasus," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 22(23), pages 691-732.
    3. Stillman, Steven, 2006. "Health and nutrition in Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union during the decade of transition: A review of the literature," Economics & Human Biology, Elsevier, vol. 4(1), pages 104-146, January.
    4. Becker, Charles M. & Urzhumova, Dina S., 2005. "Mortality recovery and stabilization in Kazakhstan, 1995-2001," Economics & Human Biology, Elsevier, vol. 3(1), pages 97-122, March.
    5. Ariel Karlinsky & Orsola Torrisi, 2023. "The Casualties of War: An Excess Mortality Estimate of Lives Lost in the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 42(3), pages 1-24, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    mortality; migration; population; Armenia; Georgia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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