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Economic Uncertainty, Monetary Uncertainty, and the Demand for Money in Africa

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  • Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee
  • Alice Kones

Abstract

Due to economic and monetary uncertainty individuals are expected to allocate their portfolio towards holding money and alternative forms of assets. Following the literature on money demand, we test the impact of economic and monetary uncertainty on the demand for money in 21 African nations. By relying upon quarterly data, GARCH-based measures of uncertainty, and bounds testing approach we find that the impact of both measures are mostly transitory in many of the African countries and do not last into long run. Furthermore, by including the two uncertainty measures we found that the demand for money in every African nation is stable.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Alice Kones, 2014. "Economic Uncertainty, Monetary Uncertainty, and the Demand for Money in Africa," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot GmbH, Berlin, vol. 60(4), pages 293-313.
  • Handle: RePEc:dah:aeqaeq:v60_y2014_i4_q4_p293-313
    DOI: 10.3790/aeq.60.4.293
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    Cited by:

    1. S. M. Woahid Murad & Ruhul Salim & Md. Golam Kibria, 2021. "Asymmetric Effects of Economic Policy Uncertainty on the Demand for Money in India," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 19(3), pages 451-470, September.
    2. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Majid Maki Nayeri, 2018. "Policy Uncertainty and the Demand for Money in Korea: An Asymmetry Analysis," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(2), pages 219-234, April.
    3. Mohsen Bahmani‐Oskooee & Majid Maki Nayeri, 2018. "Policy Uncertainty and the Demand for Money in Australia: an Asymmetry Analysis," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 57(4), pages 456-469, December.
    4. Ogbuabor, Jonathan E. & Ukwueze, Ezebuilo R. & Mba, Ifeoma C. & Ojonta, Obed I. & Orji, Anthony, 2023. "The asymmetric impact of economic policy uncertainty on global retail energy markets: Are the markets responding to the fear of the unknown?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 334(C).
    5. Long, Shaobo & Zuo, Yulan & Tian, Hao, 2023. "Asymmetries in multi-target monetary policy rule and the role of uncertainty: Evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 278-296.
    6. Ibrahim N Ouattara & Balakissa Kone, 2023. "The effect of exchange rate on the money demand: evidence from ECOWAS countries," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 43(4), pages 1565-1580.
    7. Hossain, Akhand Akhtar & Arwatchanakarn, Popkarn, 2020. "The effect of economic uncertainty on narrow money demand and its stability in New Zealand: An empirical investigation," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 88-100.
    8. Esmaeil Ebadi, 2019. "Does Government Spending Affect Money Demand in the United States?," Economic Research Guardian, Mutascu Publishing, vol. 9(1), pages 35-45, June.
    9. Allan Kayongo & Asumani Guloba, 2018. "Economic Uncertainty and Money Demand Stability in Uganda during Financial Liberalization: A GARCH and ARDL Approach," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 5(4), pages 70-86, July.
    10. Allan Kayongo & Asumani Guloba & Joseph Muvawala, 2020. "Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate on Monetary Policy in Emerging Countries: A Non-Linear ARDL Approach in Uganda," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 7(5), pages 24-37, September.
    11. Dorothy Nampewo & Jacob Opolot, 2016. "Financial Innovations and Money Velocity in Uganda," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 28(4), pages 371-382, December.

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    Keywords

    African economy; economic uncertainty;

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