IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/cup/pscirm/v12y2024i4p729-749_3.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Introducing ICBe: an event extraction dataset from narratives about international crises

Author

Listed:
  • Douglass, Rex W.
  • Scherer, Thomas Leo
  • Gannon, J. Andrés
  • Gartzke, Erik
  • Lindsay, Jon
  • Carcelli, Shannon
  • Wilkenfeld, Jonathan
  • Quinn, David M.
  • Aiken, Catherine
  • Cabezas Navarro, Jose Miguel
  • Lund, Neil
  • Murauskaite, Egle
  • Partridge, Diana

Abstract

How do international crises unfold? We conceptualize international relations as a strategic chess game between adversaries and develop a systematic way to measure pieces, moves, and gambits accurately and consistently over a hundred years of history. We introduce a new ontology and dataset of international events called ICBe based on a very high-quality corpus of narratives from the International Crisis Behavior (ICB) Project. We demonstrate that ICBe has higher coverage, recall, and precision than existing state of the art datasets and conduct two detailed case studies of the Cuban Missile Crisis (1962) and the Crimea-Donbas Crisis (2014). We further introduce two new event visualizations (event iconography and crisis maps), an automated benchmark for measuring event recall using natural language processing (synthetic narratives), and an ontology reconstruction task for objectively measuring event precision. We make the data, supplementary appendix, replication material, and visualizations of every historical episode available at a companion website crisisevents.org.

Suggested Citation

  • Douglass, Rex W. & Scherer, Thomas Leo & Gannon, J. Andrés & Gartzke, Erik & Lindsay, Jon & Carcelli, Shannon & Wilkenfeld, Jonathan & Quinn, David M. & Aiken, Catherine & Cabezas Navarro, Jose Miguel, 2024. "Introducing ICBe: an event extraction dataset from narratives about international crises," Political Science Research and Methods, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(4), pages 729-749, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:cup:pscirm:v:12:y:2024:i:4:p:729-749_3
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S2049847024000177/type/journal_article
    File Function: link to article abstract page
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cup:pscirm:v:12:y:2024:i:4:p:729-749_3. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Kirk Stebbing (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.cambridge.org/ram .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.