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Simulating Party Shares

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  • Cohen, Denis
  • Hanretty, Chris

Abstract

We tackle the problem of simulating seat- and vote-shares for a party system of a given size. We show how these shares can be generated using unordered and ordered Dirichlet distributions. We show that a distribution with a mean vector given by the rule described in Taagepera and Allik (2006, Electoral Studies 25, 696–713) fits real-world data almost as well as a saturated model where there is a parameter for each rank/system size combination.

Suggested Citation

  • Cohen, Denis & Hanretty, Chris, 2024. "Simulating Party Shares," Political Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 32(1), pages 140-147, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:cup:polals:v:32:y:2024:i:1:p:140-147_10
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