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Chapter I. The Home Economy

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  • Anonymous

Abstract

Although information is still very incomplete for the second quarter, it seems likely that total output has continued to rise this year at a moderate rate—perhaps 1 ½ per cent a year. On constant fiscal policies, we would expect demand to grow just sufficiently during the rest of this year and in 1987 to keep non-oil GDP rising at about this rate, or perhaps just a little faster. Unemployment is still rising; the figures may soon level out, or possibly decline a little, under the impact of the special employment measures. Inflation is lower than for many years; it will probably edge up. The fall in oil prices has transformed the balance of payments. There could be a deficit on current account of substantial proportions in 1987.

Suggested Citation

  • Anonymous, 1986. "Chapter I. The Home Economy," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 117, pages 5-19, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:nierev:v:117:y:1986:i::p:5-19_2
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