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Debt Stabilization In The Presence Of Endogenous Risk Premia: A Dynamic Game Approach

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  • Anevlavis, Tzanis
  • Papavassilopoulos, George
  • Engwerda, Jacob
  • van Aarle, Bas

Abstract

This paper focuses on the possibility that financial markets require risk premia on holding sovereign debt of countries that appear vulnerable from a fiscal sustainability perspective. Both the level of debt as well as the rate of change of debt are assumed to impact on the risk premium. We analyze the impact of such an endogenous risk premium in a simple debt game between a monetary and a fiscal player, as introduced by [Tabellini (1986) Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 10, 427–442]. The risk premium term adds a nonlinearity to the linear model in case risk premia are absent. We analyze outcomes in case of noncooperative open-loop Nash strategies and in case of cooperative strategies and consider the workings of the risk premium as a market-based disciplining device (in case of high debt) and adjustment rewarding device (in case of a declining debt trajectory).

Suggested Citation

  • Anevlavis, Tzanis & Papavassilopoulos, George & Engwerda, Jacob & van Aarle, Bas, 2019. "Debt Stabilization In The Presence Of Endogenous Risk Premia: A Dynamic Game Approach," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(7), pages 2616-2648, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:macdyn:v:23:y:2019:i:07:p:2616-2648_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Christos Mavrodimitrakis, 2022. "Debt stabilization and financial stability in a monetary union: Market versus authority‐based preventive solutions," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2582-2599, April.
    2. Barucci, Emilio & Brachetta, Matteo & Marazzina, Daniele, 2023. "On the feasibility of a debt redemption fund," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    3. Hausken, Kjell & Welburn, Jonathan W., 2024. "Debt crises between a country and an international lender as a two-period game," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 704-723.

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